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Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5
1	CHEN Cindy	-	1%	9%	31%	40%	19%
2	CHENG Anna	-	-	5%	30%	48%	17%
3	RUSMEVICHIENTONG Lyla	-	1%	7%	28%	42%	22%
3	CAO Kim	2%	15%	33%	33%	14%	2%
5	SHI Maxine	1%	8%	26%	38%	23%	4%
6	FAN Tina	-	-	3%	16%	41%	39%
7	HWANG Sophie	-	-	1%	11%	42%	46%
8	LONG Chloe	-	-	1%	9%	40%	49%
9	CHENG Zijuan "Grace"	-	3%	19%	39%	30%	8%
10	CORD Sophia	-	2%	14%	35%	36%	13%
11	HU Ashley	-	1%	6%	24%	42%	27%
12	GUERVILLE Angelique	5%	22%	37%	27%	8%	1%
13	WANG Makayla	-	5%	19%	36%	31%	9%
14	HUANG Rachel	-	5%	20%	37%	29%	8%
15	GUO YUKI	-	4%	24%	43%	25%	4%
16	WU Amelie	6%	26%	38%	24%	7%	1%
17	LUC Christabel	2%	15%	33%	34%	15%	1%
18	LIU Isabel	6%	27%	40%	23%	4%	-
19	LIU Anya	11%	34%	36%	16%	3%	-
20	TABANCAY Ava	17%	37%	31%	12%	2%	-
21	WANG April	1%	9%	29%	37%	20%	4%
22	TAN Angela	35%	52%	12%	1%	-	-
23	CUI Andrea	18%	50%	27%	5%	-	-
24	ZEITHAMMER Hanna	-	2%	15%	37%	36%	10%
25	LEONG Andrea	-	5%	26%	40%	24%	5%
26	FISCHER Luna	21%	42%	29%	7%	-	-
27	MATSUMOTO ELLE	48%	39%	11%	1%	-	-
28	ZHAO Audrey	51%	40%	9%	1%	-	-
29	LIU Kaylee	17%	41%	31%	9%	1%	-
30	CHAN Clara	27%	41%	24%	7%	1%	-
31	KIM Erin Sihyo	32%	46%	19%	2%	-	-
32	BRIAN Evangelina Genevieve	-	4%	21%	39%	29%	7%
33	BAKHCHINYAN Anoush	1%	28%	47%	21%	3%	-
34	YU Sydney	1%	17%	46%	29%	7%	1%
34	BIGLOU Shimane	1%	11%	37%	39%	11%	1%
36	CARRASCO WHITE Charlotte	< 1%	17%	51%	29%	3%	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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