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Y-14 Women's Foil

Sunday, November 19, 2023 at 1:00 PM

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Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SUN Chloe - - - - 1% 18% 81%
2 HSU Kaylin - - - 2% 15% 49% 34%
3 DUAN Sophie - - 4% 21% 43% 32%
3 YAO Abby - - 4% 23% 45% 25% 3%
5 AYUPOVA AMELIYA - - - - 15% 85%
6 MIYASHIRO Katelyn - 1% 5% 23% 43% 28%
7 POEI Lauren - - 4% 29% 59% 7%
8 LEVESQUE Brielle - 1% 6% 22% 39% 29% 4%
9 LENK Sophie - - - 2% 11% 37% 49%
10 ZHANG Ivy - - 1% 8% 36% 56%
11 WYNN Kylie - - - 3% 16% 41% 41%
12 YONG Rosalind - - 1% 8% 34% 51% 7%
13 PEDERSEN Haley 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% -
14 OH Ceana - - - 5% 31% 64%
15 WILLIAMSON Tessa - 7% 29% 42% 20% 2%
16 ZOU Ella - - - - 5% 33% 62%
17 ZHANG Gwenyth - 1% 10% 29% 37% 20% 3%
18 LI Joy - 1% 9% 32% 43% 15%
19 KIM Sydney - - 5% 31% 64%
20 LIU Samantha 1% 9% 27% 36% 21% 5% -
21 RUI Jessie 1% 9% 25% 34% 24% 7% 1%
22 ZEE Savannah - 2% 12% 36% 39% 11% -
23 WU Chingfei Amber - 2% 15% 38% 37% 8%
24 ZONG Melody 2% 15% 36% 33% 12% 1%
25 DESAI Esha - 1% 8% 29% 42% 19%
26 LIM Kensie - 6% 32% 49% 14% -
27 LI Alice - - 1% 11% 36% 42% 9%
28 SAH Madeleine 3% 22% 44% 28% 4%
29 HUGHES Olivia 1% 8% 29% 40% 20% 3% -
30 TAN Shouyin 3% 17% 36% 32% 11% 1%
31 MA Emily(Yiming) 7% 26% 35% 23% 8% 1% -
32 HSIAO Ariya 14% 50% 30% 5% - -
33 ZOU JIAYING 2% 20% 43% 28% 7% 1% -
34 SOE Hayleigh 1% 13% 37% 35% 12% 1%
35 LIU Ashley 2% 20% 44% 30% 4%
36 PARK Lauren - 11% 40% 36% 12% 1%
37 HAN Gian - 2% 13% 39% 39% 7%
38 VILLARAMA Kara 1% 8% 27% 36% 22% 6% 1%
39 ANDONIAN Lauren - 1% 7% 24% 38% 26% 5%
40 CHOI Sophie 1% 10% 30% 36% 19% 4% -
41 CHEN Madeleine 6% 34% 42% 17% 1%
42 LEE Zoe 1% 7% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
43 ZHAO Olivia 2% 22% 48% 25% 3% -
44 CHANG Olivia 4% 33% 42% 18% 3% -
45 LUCAS Ava 14% 42% 33% 10% 1% -
46 DENG Claire 1% 13% 36% 36% 13% 1%
47 NEUMANN Erika 15% 38% 33% 12% 2% -
48 LIU Ariana 3% 22% 42% 26% 6% -
49 XIA Isabella 6% 31% 40% 19% 3% - -
50 YU Sophie 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 7% 1%
51 HSU Rachel - 5% 26% 45% 21% 3% -
52 LIN Allison 16% 37% 31% 12% 2% - -
52 FANG Kelervia 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
54 CHUN Ami 55% 37% 7% 1% - -
55 LU Alexis 62% 33% 5% - - -
56 MA Yifei (Olivia) 28% 45% 22% 5% - - -
57 WANG Yanxuan(Alicia) 13% 33% 33% 16% 4% - -
57 DAI Iris Yuyang - 4% 16% 32% 32% 14% 2%
59 KIM Natalie 4% 25% 42% 24% 5% - -
60 TAI Taphanie 24% 44% 25% 6% 1% - -
61 ZHANG Queeny 43% 42% 13% 2% - -
62 COLIC LANI 60% 33% 6% - -
63 IDANAWANG Madison 27% 43% 24% 6% 1% -
64 IDANAWANG Allison 56% 35% 8% 1% - - -
65 LEE LAUREN 48% 42% 9% 1% - - -
66 HART Christie 1% 11% 34% 38% 14% 2%
67 YU Xintong 9% 36% 38% 15% 2% -
68 YANG Byanca 61% 34% 5% - - -
69 CHEN Chelsea 18% 47% 29% 6% - - -
70 YANG Callie 3% 14% 31% 32% 16% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.