8th Annual Orange & Blue

Div II Mixed Épée

Sunday, November 19, 2023 at 2:00 PM

Alachua County Sports Complex at Celebration Point - Gainesville, FL, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 DUPREE Thomas 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 49%
2 LANGUASCO Michael 100% 100% 97% 81% 41% 7%
3 ZHOU Alec 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
3 VAN NIMWEGEN Nicholas 100% 100% 100% 97% 68%
5 ALNEAMAH Anwar 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 71%
6 GOODMAN Michael 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 27%
7 BLACK Brennan 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 11%
8 KOTHA Maanas 100% 95% 72% 33% 7% -
9 JIN Dongwoo 100% 99% 86% 53% 18% 3%
10 MCFARLAND John 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 28%
11 LIU Kevin 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 4%
12 CROSBY Timothy 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 41%
13 FREY Wayne 100% 100% 100% 99% 84%
14 WEDDLE Carson 100% 100% 98% 74% 8%
15 LOPEZ Lincoln 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 11%
16 DINKINS Adam 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
17 JANES Cole 100% 98% 82% 46% 12% -
18 SLOTER Lewis 100% 100% 95% 74% 34% 4%
19 RASSEL John 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
20 FORTIER Adriana 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
21 MCCREARY Madeleine 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
22 RODDENBERRY Steven 100% 91% 61% 24% 4% -
23 INTERTHAL William 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
24 OZTEK Muzaffer 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
25 RODRIGUEZ Lucas 100% 100% 97% 81% 40% 7%
26 GUADAMUZ Cesar 100% 100% 93% 68% 30% 6%
27 PEREVORUKHOV Ivan 100% 97% 66% 13% -
28 RODRIGUEZ Mateo 100% 98% 80% 44% 14% 2%
29 BOLLE Elijah 100% 98% 82% 46% 13% 1%
30 HAWKINS Sophia 100% 99% 87% 54% 17% 1%
31 KARPF Jonah 100% 85% 44% 11% 1% -
32 CULLEN Reilly 100% 93% 64% 25% 4% -
33 FREY Claire 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
34 BELL Adam 100% 99% 90% 53% 10%
35 ALVIOR Jonathan 100% 98% 75% 30% 5% -
36 PAVLOV Anastasia 100% 99% 77% 28% 1%
37 DINGEE Paul 100% 97% 77% 37% 9% 1%
38 POWELL Troy 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 13%
39 GRIFFITHS Wesley 100% 93% 66% 29% 7% 1%
39 SKRYPEK Alan 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 3%
41 WYNHN Paul 100% 99% 85% 49% 15% 2%
42 BEATTY Thomas 100% 99% 88% 56% 18% 1%
43 RODA Thaleia 100% 81% 13% 1% -
44 MCLENDON Matthew 100% 48% 9% 1% -
45 TRUE Robert 100% 54% 12% 1% -
46 SPEARS Ramon 100% 64% 21% 4% - -
47 OLSON Clayton 100% 97% 79% 39% 6% -
48 WILFORD Madigan 100% 91% 55% 16% 2% -
49 WYBLE Sierra 100% 93% 67% 29% 6% -
49 AGEE Brendon 100% 70% 25% 4% - -
51 DOAN Dylan 100% 89% 57% 22% 4% -
51 CLARK Nicole 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% -
53 LIU Nick 100% 93% 65% 27% 6% 1%
54 COLLINS Hannah 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% -
55 LEWIS Katherine 100% 88% 53% 17% 3% -
56 PHAM Hailey 100% 83% 33% 4% -
57 MOSCOSO SERRANO Andrea 100% 53% 10% 1% - -
58 LEE Dohyun 100% 62% 21% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.