Cobra Challenge SYC/RCC/Y8

Y-12 Men's Saber

Friday, November 24, 2023 at 4:00 PM

Meadowlands Expo Center - Secaucus, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 URSU Marcel T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
2 KHANNA Adamantis 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 54%
3 BAI Evan 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19%
3 LUCAS William 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
5 WEI Rian 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 18%
6 KARAVAS Nicholas 100% 97% 83% 54% 23% 5% 1%
6 DAI Zihou 100% 100% 99% 89% 55% 15% 1%
8 HAO Johnny 100% 100% 98% 91% 68% 34% 8%
9 SLAVNOV Anton 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 4%
10 AGARWAAL Yohan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
11 ZHAO Royce 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 24%
12 PERRIN Leo 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 9%
13 SRIVATS Vedh 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 50%
14 GRABOWSKI Alexander 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 13%
15 HE Zhikai (kyle) 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 30% 6%
16 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 6%
17 ORIE Sohan 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 48% 13%
18 SAGE Nikolai 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
19 YUEN Caleb 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 10%
20 BADMUS Joshua 100% 99% 93% 74% 44% 16% 3%
21 D'AMELJ Edoardo 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 43% 11%
22 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 2%
23 MATTOO Dhruv 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 3%
24 WONG Hawken 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 21%
25 WONG Ron 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 7%
26 BELAND Riley James "RJ" 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 38% 9%
27 NG Oliver 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 3%
28 LIN Brendan 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 30% 6%
29 AVERY Marcus 100% 99% 94% 71% 36% 10% 1%
30 WANG Matthew 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 22% 4%
31 MIAO Heqi 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 3%
32 KIM Eric 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
33 KOZLOV Lucas 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 21%
34 HU Jayden 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 11%
35 BIVIJI Adam 100% 100% 99% 90% 67% 32% 7%
36 RIVERATAN Darshan 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 15% 2%
37 CHANG Ethan 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 37% 6%
38 ARCHIBALD Zachary 100% 100% 99% 93% 72% 35% 7%
39 WU Vincent 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
40 LEE Blake 100% 100% 94% 74% 37% 9% -
41 LAU Kyrus 100% 98% 87% 61% 30% 8% 1%
42 BROOKS Drake 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 13% 1%
43 CHANG Timothy 100% 99% 90% 67% 35% 11% 1%
43 LIU Jayden 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
45 SUN Stephen 100% 97% 82% 52% 21% 5% -
46 MERMEGAS Alexander 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15%
47 FOUX Jonathan 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 7% 1%
48 WAXLER Alex 100% 97% 79% 42% 12% 1% -
49 MALEK Zak 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
50 MHLEY Gavin 100% 98% 85% 58% 27% 7% 1%
51 BEAL Colton 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 11%
52 SO Morgan 100% 99% 90% 67% 34% 10% 1%
53 HENDERSON Louis 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 32% 3%
54 SUH Leo 100% 95% 73% 39% 13% 2% -
55 KAMURA Kosei 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
56 TAKEBE Ren 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
57 ROPER F. Elijah 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 35%
57 MELE Gianni 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
59 TAYCHER Aaron 100% 100% 98% 88% 63% 31% 7%
60 CHAN Ewan 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 2% -
61 YI Andrew 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 21% 4%
62 BUCKLEY Owen 100% 100% 96% 81% 49% 17% 2%
63 LIM JUWANA Maximilian 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 10%
64 TERENTIEV Michael 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
65 ZALETAEV Jacob 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 14% 2%
66 CHERNAEV Antonio 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
67 LEVY Daniel 100% 98% 86% 56% 21% 4% -
68 BRADIC Andreja 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
69 LEIGH Brayden 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
70 KOREN George 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 17% 2%
71 SHUKOOR Haaron 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
72 WONG Reagan 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% - -
73 DATTILIO Aidan 100% 85% 45% 13% 2% - -
74 CHEN Kevin 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
75 STOLCKE Julian 100% 100% 96% 82% 52% 20% 3%
76 YANG LOUIS 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
77 WANG William 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
78 WEI Hunter 100% 98% 84% 52% 20% 4% -
79 ALUF Brendon 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 6% 1%
80 LI Jayden 100% 90% 56% 18% 3% - -
81 ZHANG Mark 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% - -
82 WANG Harrison 100% 96% 72% 35% 10% 2% -
83 ZHANG Weihang 100% 90% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
83 IMANUEL Ethan 100% 91% 65% 31% 9% 2% -
85 KOREN David 100% 87% 54% 21% 4% - -
86 CHEN Leo 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 5% -
87 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
88 ZHANG Howard 100% 95% 68% 30% 6% 1% -
89 ZHANG Simon 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
90 PISTILLI James 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
91 BADMUS David 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% - -
92 ZHERENOVSKY Alan 100% 94% 70% 36% 12% 2% -
93 LIU Nico 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 19% 3%
94 KIM Mason 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
95 TITOV Zachary 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 27% 5%
95 GUERRA Corey 100% 98% 88% 64% 32% 10% 1%
97 GU Dean 100% 84% 46% 15% 3% - -
98 BURENKOV Matthew 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
98 OGELE Joshua 100% 91% 58% 22% 5% - -
100 GUEGAN Gabriel 100% 100% 92% 64% 26% 4% -
101 ALLEN Parker 100% 75% 31% 7% 1% - -
102 YAO John 100% 56% 16% 3% - - -
103 PARK Sean 100% 100% 94% 73% 40% 12% 2%
104 O'KEEFE Brody 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
105 HE Eric 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
105 VALIYEV Aslan 100% 100% 98% 84% 45% 9% 1%
107 PARK Layne 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
108 MAKLIN David 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% 1% -
109 MITHUN Prabal 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
110 DONNELL Cillian 100% 99% 91% 68% 36% 11% 1%
110 VITALE Mateo 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
112 ZHAO Owen 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
113 RAJMOHAN Syon 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
113 STYS Owen 100% 95% 74% 42% 16% 3% -
113 LAWLOR Ryan 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
116 LEE Aiden 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
116 TRUJILLO-GOMEZ Jacinto 100% 58% 17% 3% - - -
118 HUANG Lucas 100% 90% 56% 17% 2% - -
119 NELSON Alexander 100% 99% 88% 55% 18% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.