Cobra Challenge SYC/RCC/Y8

Y-12 Women's Saber

Saturday, November 25, 2023 at 1:00 PM

Meadowlands Expo Center - Secaucus, NJ, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEOU Korina 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
2 FOSS Persephone 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 23%
3 GONG Joy 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
3 WANG JiaQi 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 21%
5 KWON Ava 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
6 CHOWDHERY Myra 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% -
7 ZHU Elaine 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 36%
8 LI Tira 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
9 GONZALEZ Veronika 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 32%
10 NEMORIN Rei 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 14%
11 NIU Jessica 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 19%
12 XU Elaine 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3%
13 LIANG Claire 100% 100% 96% 82% 54% 21% 4%
14 ZHANG Ashley 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 18%
15 YAN Angela 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 32% 7%
16 PEREIRA Izumi 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
17 FUNG Iris 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
18 ZHU Avril 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
19 LEE Grace 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 25% 5%
20 WANG Emily 100% 100% 94% 73% 39% 12% 1%
21 MAK Jayden 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 16% 2%
22 PARK Haylie 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 42% 10%
23 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
24 REN Katherine 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 27% 5%
25 LEE Kaitlin 100% 99% 91% 62% 22% 3%
26 ZHANG Nikki 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
27 MULLER Inara 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6%
28 GOEL Lineysha 100% 96% 75% 38% 11% 1%
29 SEO Kaitlyn 100% 99% 92% 62% 22% 3%
30 LI Tiffany 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 30% 5%
31 ZHAO Selena 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% - -
32 KIM Grace 100% 97% 83% 53% 22% 5% -
33 GALLAGHER Isabella 100% 95% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
34 RUSMEVICHIENTONG Lyla 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 11% 1%
35 WANG Chloe 100% 67% 25% 5% < 1% -
36 ZHANG Audrey 100% 98% 79% 39% 9% 1%
37 HILD Anya 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
37 LIU Chelsea 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4% -
39 KIM Eunjae 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 3% -
40 CHOI Charlotte 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 30% 4%
41 STOLCKE Saskia 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
42 YE Isabella 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 23%
43 NANDA Maanika 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
44 WEI Madison 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 13% 2%
45 LAU Angela 100% 88% 56% 22% 5% - -
46 STEVENS Ashelin 100% 94% 72% 38% 13% 2% -
47 WANG MONA 100% 97% 80% 46% 16% 3% -
48 GOLEN Grace 100% 93% 63% 24% 4% -
49 KONZEN Iris 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
50 YERENKOVA Ameliia 100% 98% 84% 55% 24% 6% 1%
51 TA-ZHOU Sophia 100% 99% 93% 71% 36% 10% 1%
52 WANG Keira 100% 80% 41% 13% 2% - -
53 PASSMAN Caroline 100% 96% 72% 32% 7% 1% -
54 HARRIS Maya Hué 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 3%
55 WANG Selina 100% 89% 50% 14% 2% -
56 KARAVAS Lucy 100% 73% 29% 5% - -
57 YOUNG Sienna 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 9% 1%
58 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 15% 1%
59 FONG Zoe 100% 94% 69% 32% 9% 1% -
60 ZONG Eliane 100% 99% 90% 64% 31% 8% 1%
61 JOHN Sophia 100% 77% 36% 10% 1% - -
62 GU Allison 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 15% 2%
63 SAGER Bianca 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% - -
64 CHEN Chloe 100% 89% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
65 BLYAKHMAN HANNAH 100% 41% 7% 1% - - -
66 LEE Elise 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
67 YAP Anna 100% 97% 76% 36% 9% 1% -
68 PARAISO Isabella 100% 48% 10% 1% - -
68 LIAO Amber 100% 85% 45% 12% 1% -
70 GUAN Vivian 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
71 SMITH Genevieve 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
72 MOFFITT Charlotte 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1%
73 AHLUWALIA Vera 100% 95% 74% 40% 14% 2% -
74 KWAN Kelly 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.