Event Preview
Fairfax Challenge ROC, RJCC, RYCFriday, December 18, 2026 at 1:30 PM
| Finish Range | Average | Range |
|---|---|---|
| 1 - 4 | 3216 | 3439 - 2960 |
| 5 - 8 | 2675 | 2862 - 2562 |
| 9 - 16 | 2441 | 2594 - 2353 |
| 17 - 32 | 2219 | 2360 - 1983 |
| 33 - 46 | 1830 | 2088 - 1299 |
Rank is based on the conservative estimate, `mu - 3*sigma`, rather than raw strength alone. Newer or less-certain fencers can still appear lower than someone with a similar average but tighter confidence.