December SJCC + Division 1 NAC

Div I Men's Saber

Saturday, December 2, 2023 at 1:00 PM

Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HOMER Daryl D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86%
2 DODDO Andrew 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 79%
3 SARON Mitchell S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87%
3 CHON Taylor A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 17%
5 WILLIAMS Grant W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86%
6 COHEN Josef A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 84%
7 THOMPSON Khalil A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86%
8 BENAVRAM Lev C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 18%
9 MACKIEWICZ Andrew A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 79%
10 HARLEY Colby A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
11 HEATHCOCK Colin Yang Siqi 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 23%
12 JI Cody Walter 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 26%
13 PRIEST Leighton K. 100% 100% 98% 83% 43% 3%
14 SMITH Jared C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 42%
15 FENG Leo 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19% 1%
16 WOOD Elden S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
17 WU Roger (Mengke) 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 10%
18 MORRILL William 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
19 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
20 ARMIJO Gabriel K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
21 WALKER Dalton F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
21 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
23 ROBINSON William 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3% -
24 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
25 LILOV Neil 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 37%
26 OH Triton 100% 96% 69% 29% 6% -
27 ESCUETA Tony V. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 5%
28 CHOI Silas 100% 99% 87% 56% 20% 3%
29 ZHANG Derek 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
30 SKEETE Kamar A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 44%
31 HONG Rubin 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
32 HJERPE Wade H. 100% 97% 74% 34% 7% 1%
33 DOLEGIEWICZ Filip 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 73%
34 HEATHCOCK Antonio 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
35 GONZALEZ Emilio A. 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 20% 1%
36 HOLZ William A. 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
37 ROBERTS Sam 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 20% 3%
38 FIELDS Matthew S. 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% -
38 WONG Tzer 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 8%
40 BAE Jason I. 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
41 KWALWASSER Eric 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 3%
42 BAUER Hank E. 100% 89% 52% 15% 1% -
43 BURGUNDER Quinten (Quin) A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 21%
44 PRIMUS Nazir 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 19% 1%
45 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 5% -
46 NOBLE Colin 100% 100% 96% 79% 47% 16% 2%
47 LIM William J. 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 12% 1%
48 VAID Luke 100% 96% 74% 37% 9% 1% -
49 SOHN Kevin J. 100% 100% 99% 90% 58% 16%
50 YUN Jaesun 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 21%
51 KOGAN Benjamin 100% 100% 94% 71% 30% 5%
52 DODRILL Grant 100% 100% 96% 76% 37% 7%
53 LIANG Connor 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 39% 3%
53 REN James 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9% 1%
55 SHAHZAD Azlan A. 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4% -
56 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 1%
56 BONIFIELD Arthur G. 100% 99% 93% 71% 37% 11% 1%
58 YE Eric 100% 94% 64% 26% 6% 1% -
59 BYON Julian 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
60 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 100% 100% 95% 73% 31% 5%
61 BROU Inkosi 100% 79% 36% 7% 1% -
62 SOWERS Samuel 100% 64% 21% 3% - -
63 ERMAKOV Lev 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 21% 3%
64 MCCARTHY Gabriel 100% 99% 85% 45% 11% 1% -
65 WITEK Bernard J. 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 35% 7%
66 MAY Griffin M. 100% 85% 46% 13% 1% < 1%
67 CALLAHAN Jaden P. 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
68 CHOI HYUNSEOK 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
69 JIANG Anthony 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 40% 3%
70 SO Hananiah 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 18%
71 TRAVERS Samir T. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
72 MCBRIDE Jackson R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 47%
73 RIGHTLER Samuel 100% 98% 86% 55% 19% 3%
74 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14% 1%
75 SUBBIAH Prashanth V. 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15% 1%
76 LEE Aydan J. 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 11% 1%
77 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 6% -
78 WILSON Jude 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 32% 6%
79 DUDNICK Christian 100% 79% 39% 10% 1% - -
80 CHTERENTAL Alex 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4% -
81 GUAY-TARDIF Xavier 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 30% 2%
82 SHOMAN Noah 100% 100% 91% 58% 17% 2% -
83 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 11% 1%
84 TE VELDE Noah C. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 18%
85 WANG Nicolas 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1%
86 GREENBAUM Maxwell H. 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 14%
87 WANG Robert 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 7%
88 GLOZMAN Justin 100% 89% 51% 15% 2% -
89 LINSKY Matthew 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
90 DHINGRA Gian K. 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 31%
91 LEE Justin 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 7%
92 MATTOO Surya 100% 57% 17% 3% - -
93 LO Konnor 100% 93% 66% 29% 6% -
94 PATEL Rayn 100% 92% 63% 25% 5% - -
95 YAN Kevin 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
96 PAN Alex 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14% -
97 BONSELL Vance 100% 82% 44% 13% 2% - -
98 BERGER Oliver 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 4%
99 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 25% 3%
100 LUHAN Zachary 100% 95% 71% 32% 8% 1% -
101 ZHANG Yupeng 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
102 KIM Ethan 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1% -
103 LIN Daniel 100% 99% 94% 71% 34% 7% -
103 BARRIOS Diego 100% 85% 46% 14% 2% - -
105 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 3% -
106 MORREALE John 100% 100% 96% 77% 41% 10%
107 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 100% 99% 93% 67% 26% 2%
108 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 99% 91% 60% 18% 1%
109 SU Landon 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% -
110 BYON Adrian 100% 80% 38% 8% 1% -
111 PATIL Aaryan A. 100% 94% 66% 28% 7% 1%
112 ZUBATIY Samuel 100% 99% 92% 65% 24% 3%
113 PENG Bryan 100% 91% 60% 23% 4% -
114 YAN William 100% 63% 20% 3% - -
115 YAO JINCHENG 100% 95% 73% 34% 7% -
116 GUFFEY Christopher 100% 95% 71% 30% 6% -
117 CRAIG Samuel 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% -
118 LI Minghan 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1%
119 MORRILL Justin 100% 99% 87% 55% 17% 1%
120 DEPEW Spencer 100% 98% 82% 47% 15% 2% -
121 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
122 MAHAPATRA SAMARTH 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -
123 HONG Steven 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12% -
124 ZHANG Ethan W. 100% 88% 54% 19% 3% - -
124 NG Jonathan 100% 91% 59% 21% 4% - -
126 WAXLER Seth B. 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1% -
127 MUNGUIA Nathan 100% 90% 46% 10% 1% - -
128 NG Jeremiah 100% 94% 64% 26% 5% 1% -
129 BARNETT Adam 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42% 5%
130 FRANCOIS Alexander C. 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% - -
131 RIGGINS Littleton K. 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1% -
132 CHUNG Connor 100% 95% 70% 31% 7% 1% -
133 HU Christopher 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% - -
134 ANAND Rohan 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% - -
135 MATTOO Deven 100% 67% 23% 4% - - -
136 MICHELL Bailey 100% 100% 95% 74% 38% 10% 1%
137 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 100% 88% 50% 15% 2% - -
138 LI Yiwei 100% 93% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
139 LIN Steve 100% 65% 24% 5% - - -
140 POSY Daniel 100% 85% 49% 16% 2% - -
141 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 97% 79% 42% 9% 1%
142 JEFFORDS Alexander 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 8%
143 RAMANAN Govind 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
144 GERSTMANN Max T. 100% 38% 6% - - -
145 GOLDIN Lucca 100% 72% 28% 5% - -
146 WANG Charles 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% 1%
147 ZENG Noah 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 1%
148 SAVOY Luca 100% 75% 34% 8% 1% -
149 NOURELDIN Gabriel 100% 83% 43% 11% 1% -
150 TAO Jeffrey 100% 99% 87% 54% 20% 4% -
151 HOLZ Daniel 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
152 KALPATHY Rohit 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
152 SUGIURA Samuel 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% - -
154 YANG Ziyi 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13% -
155 MICLAUS Justin 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26% 2%
156 GILSON Lucas B. 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
157 BRIDGEMAN Andrew T. 100% 45% 9% 1% - - -
158 ZHANG Jeffrey 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
159 TONG ZACHARY 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 10% 1%
159 YAO JINTAO 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 1% -
161 CORTEZ Christopher 100% 99% 86% 54% 20% 3% -
161 HWANG Jayden 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1% -
161 CHEN Samuel 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
164 LIU Lawrence 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% - -
165 ROSBERG Dashiell W. 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
166 WANG William 100% 48% 11% 1% - - -
167 DALAL Rohan 100% 84% 45% 13% 2% - -
168 AERY FALLICK Ozzie 100% 92% 60% 20% 3% -
168 RASMUSSEN Alexzander C. 100% 89% 53% 18% 3% -
170 TIAGI Daniel 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% - -
171 YANG Dylan 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% -
172 KANG Evan R. 100% 83% 46% 14% 2% -
173 SHANKWILER Christopher 100% 80% 40% 11% 1% - -
173 RAMANAN Jaisimh 100% 91% 62% 25% 5% - -
173 KIM ELIJAH 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 4% -
176 DECK Tyson 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
176 FANG Eason 100% 35% 4% - - - -
178 FENKER William M. 100% 82% 42% 10% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.