December SJCC + Division 1 NAC

Div I Women's Épée

Sunday, December 3, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Richmond, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 HUSISIAN Hadley N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 76%
2 NIXON Catherine (Kasia) D. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
3 XIAO Ruien 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30%
3 PADHYE Tanishka 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 25% 3%
5 PIRKOWSKI Amanda L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 66%
6 GUZZI VINCENTI Margherita A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74%
7 GRADY Miriam A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 53%
8 CEBULA Anne 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
9 TOBY Natalia R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
10 BASSA Francesca A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
11 BEZUGLAYA Varvara 100% 95% 72% 36% 9% 1%
12 HOLMES Katharine (Kat) W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86%
13 SEBASTIAN Felicity A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 11%
14 ZIGALO Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 50% 15%
15 YAMANAKA Mina 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 43%
16 YIN Julia 100% 100% 99% 94% 76% 41% 10%
17 WANG Karen 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 32%
18 CHU Audrey 100% 100% 99% 94% 69% 24%
19 PARK Faith K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
20 SHEFFIELD Lake Mawu 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 36%
21 ZUHARS Renee A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 10%
22 ZHANG Victoria R. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 4%
23 NIXON Caroline (Karolina) L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 28%
24 TOLSMA Chloe (CJ) 100% 100% 95% 78% 43% 12% 1%
25 RATZLAFF Jocelyn T. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59% 9%
26 RAKHOVSKI Alexandra 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
27 WASHINGTON Isis 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 60%
28 LEE REGINA 100% 98% 81% 41% 9% 1%
29 SPRINGER Sierra 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 15% 2%
30 LEE Michelle J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49% 7%
31 YANG Alisa 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 19% 3%
32 FENG Ge 100% 98% 85% 54% 20% 3% -
33 WU Fan 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 41% 8%
34 DOROSHKEVICH Victoria 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 17% 1%
35 LIU Charlene (Kai) 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
36 LURYE Sarah 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 12%
37 MILEWSKI Nicole 100% 99% 92% 65% 29% 6% 1%
38 HAFEEZ Hania 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3%
39 LIN Elaine 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
40 SOBUS Yanka 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% -
41 LIN Jessica Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 38%
42 BECKMAN Ana 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 4% -
43 WANG Zoe 100% 93% 65% 29% 8% 1% -
44 XUAN Nicole J. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 36% 3%
45 RUNIONS Emersyn 100% 99% 88% 55% 18% 2% -
46 KETKAR Mallika 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 9%
47 KETKAR Ketki 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 33%
48 KOMAR Sofia 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 22%
49 LEE Natasha 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 3%
50 SHIV Avni 100% 93% 67% 28% 6% -
51 KORFONTA Jolie 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
52 HAMILTON Pauline S. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 34% 3%
53 YU Nicole J. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18% 2%
54 HONG Elaine 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 12% 1%
55 ALEXANDROV Katherine S. 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 11% 1%
56 WADE-CURRIE Ava S. 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 5%
56 HAFEEZ Hiba 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
58 DESAI Meera P. 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 9% 1%
59 REID Anousheh 100% 99% 94% 71% 34% 7% -
60 CALDERA Lexi I. 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 6% -
61 CANNING Charlotte 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
62 WITTER Catherine A. 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
63 MUELLER Emma M. 100% 99% 88% 54% 18% 2% -
64 BASRALIAN Azniv 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% - -
65 TEMIRYAEV Anna M. 100% 100% 97% 81% 45% 11% -
65 DAMRATOSKI Anna Z. 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 11% 1%
67 WATRALL Christina 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 33%
68 WONG Alexandra R. 100% 96% 75% 40% 12% 2% -
69 CAFASSO Natalya 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 4% -
70 WANG Ziqi (yoyo) 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 11% 1%
71 WELLS Tesla M. 100% 100% 95% 76% 43% 14% 2%
72 KOWALSKY Rachel A. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 43% 7%
73 CHEN Lefu 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24% 2%
74 SHU Youshan 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
75 LEE Olivia 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 7% -
76 NEMETH Katherine 100% 98% 84% 49% 15% 2%
77 BARG Daniella 100% 98% 83% 46% 10% 1%
78 KHARCHYNA Polina 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 12%
79 LEE Claire 100% 88% 51% 14% 1% -
80 O'DONNELL Amanda A. 100% 100% 100% 94% 68% 16%
81 QI Jarynne Valerie 100% 98% 83% 50% 18% 3% -
82 SMOTRITSKY Mia 100% 100% 94% 70% 33% 8% 1%
83 EDWARDS Auprell 100% 98% 87% 60% 26% 6% 1%
84 ZANGA Kaitlyn 100% 94% 65% 26% 5% - -
85 IYER Ishana 100% 81% 41% 10% 1% - -
85 CAMPBELL Eva 100% 83% 36% 8% 1% - -
87 AI Amy 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 16% 2%
88 LI Zhenni (Jenny) 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
89 HESS Heidi J. 100% 95% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
90 MUN Brianna K. 100% 94% 67% 28% 5% - -
91 KALE Anika A. 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 13% 1%
92 CHANG Celine A. 100% 80% 39% 10% 1% -
93 RANDLEMAN Teresa 100% 85% 48% 16% 3% -
94 NIX Reagan 100% 67% 24% 5% - -
95 NGUYEN Tallulah 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 14%
96 AZMEH nour 100% 92% 62% 24% 5% -
97 DORVAL Anne-Marie 100% 99% 92% 63% 23% 3%
98 ELSTON Sophia 100% 78% 31% 6% - -
99 KIM Zoe L. 100% 100% 97% 82% 52% 20% 3%
100 PEHLIVANI Zara 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 30% 4%
101 JOYAL Anne-Sophie 100% 99% 89% 62% 26% 5% -
102 CARRIER Meredith 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
103 SONG Angela 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2%
104 GAO Judy 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
105 LEE Yejine 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
105 CAPELLUA Mariasole 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 13% 1%
105 LI Fei 100% 94% 69% 34% 10% 1% -
108 KUMAR Anusha 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% - -
109 PHUKAN Indra 100% 91% 61% 25% 5% 1% -
110 BALAKRISHNAN Trisha 100% 87% 47% 13% 2% - -
111 LIN Victoria T. 100% 64% 22% 4% - - -
112 SUN MANRONG 100% 92% 61% 23% 5% - -
113 PRESMAN Aerin 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
114 LIANG Jingjing 100% 92% 61% 23% 4% - -
115 LU Samantha R. 100% 97% 83% 51% 19% 4% -
116 PINNAMANENI Drithi 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
117 MISHIMA Audrey 100% 69% 28% 6% 1% - -
118 ZHENG Linden 100% 63% 19% 3% - - -
119 GORNOVSKY Abigail 100% 86% 51% 17% 3% -
120 SHELIN Chelsea 100% 91% 58% 19% 2% -
121 RAUSCH Ariana (Ari) M. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 25%
121 CHISHOLM Phoebe C. 100% 93% 66% 28% 5% -
123 BEAVER Ava 100% 82% 43% 12% 1% -
124 PULLEN Ayah 100% 72% 28% 5% - -
125 GUJJA Misha 100% 63% 18% 2% - -
126 YOU Emily 100% 92% 62% 24% 4% -
127 SMUK Alexandra S. 100% 99% 93% 66% 28% 5% -
128 YAO Melinda 100% 99% 93% 70% 35% 8% 1%
129 PECK Maia A. 100% 97% 81% 49% 18% 3% -
130 PRIHODKO Nina 100% 96% 75% 39% 12% 2% -
131 QIU Emily 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% - -
132 ANDERSON Claire 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
132 KOZLOWSKI Maya M. 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 6% -
134 MCSWEENEY Janie 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
135 NOVOJILOV Anastasia 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
136 CHANG Chloe 100% 54% 13% 1% - - -
137 XIAO Nancy 100% 96% 73% 33% 7% 1% -
138 YAO KATHARINE 100% 80% 35% 8% 1% - -
139 CAMPBELL Anahit M. 100% 98% 83% 49% 14% 2% -
140 KORKIN Alice 100% 95% 69% 30% 6% - -
141 PEELER Julia 100% 81% 43% 14% 2% - -
142 SEMIKIN Julia 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 20% 1%
142 CHERNIS Zoe C. 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1% -
144 FERREIRA DE MELO Adriana 100% 97% 77% 39% 9% 1% -
145 REKEDA Anna 100% 65% 23% 4% - - -
146 WANG Victoria 100% 67% 22% 4% - - -
146 NAKA Emily 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
148 CHATIKHINE Anastasia 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
149 YOU Isabel B. 100% 62% 20% 3% - - -
150 HUANG Lanlan 100% 69% 25% 4% - - -
151 LEE Camilla 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% - -
152 FURMAN Maria 100% 91% 60% 22% 4% -
153 WANG Elizabeth 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 21%
154 SHARMA Sanvi 100% 82% 43% 13% 2% - -
155 PATIL Amulya 100% 76% 30% 6% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.