2024 BFC Youth Series 2

Unrated Y-12 Mixed Foil

Saturday, December 9, 2023 at 2:30 PM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 QIAN Zekai 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 32%
2 GOODMAN Carden 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 9%
3 REN Ryan 100% 100% 99% 89% 54% 13%
3 HU Daniel 100% 99% 85% 45% 9% -
5 WANG Zeyu 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 15%
6 YIN Chloe 100% 100% 100% 100% 92% 40%
7 DE CASTRO Kai 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 37%
8 GE Deanna 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
9 ZHILKOV Anya 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 28%
10 BO Iris 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
11 LI Jayden 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 17%
12 DENG Jonathan 100% 98% 85% 52% 18% 2%
13 HAN Jiaren 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
14 ZHANG Zoey 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
15 LIU Brady 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
15 SUN Nathan 100% 99% 85% 47% 11% -
17 HU Michael 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4%
18 ZHONG Kingsley 100% 100% 97% 80% 42% 9%
19 KOESTERS Cecilie 100% 87% 49% 14% 2% -
20 ZHANG Aaron 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
21 SFINTESCU Emma 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 4%
22 OTTAVIANO Maris 100% 99% 91% 60% 18% 2%
23 BRILLANTES Luke 100% 100% 96% 67% 23% 3%
24 DAWSON Myer 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% -
25 TIAN Andy 100% 82% 45% 14% 2% -
26 BENNETT Emi 100% 99% 92% 64% 22% 2%
27 RADVANY Simone 100% 98% 79% 37% 7% -
28 ROSENTHAL Hugh 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
29 SPERBER Miles 100% 98% 83% 48% 15% 2%
30 ZHAO David 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
31 ALIMI Mousa 100% 65% 20% 3% - -
32 HUDSON Sophie 100% 96% 75% 33% 6% -
33 JABLOKOV Roman 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% -
34 WU Annie 100% 77% 25% 3% - -
35 TIAN Dylan 100% 94% 48% 11% 1% -
36 KOESTERS Florentine 100% 74% 27% 5% - -
37 CONNELLY Malcolm 100% 98% 84% 41% 7% -
38 DAVE Neil 100% 74% 26% 4% - -
39 BENTLEY Amelia 100% 79% 38% 9% 1% -
40 DUAN Desmond 100% 70% 27% 5% - -
41 MCCLELLAN Florence 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% -
42 WEI Heidi 100% 90% 52% 16% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.