Event Results
Fencing Center of Chicago RYC & RJCCSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | DOROSHKEVICH Victoriia | D V V V | V V V V | 3.2 | 3 | -0.2 |
| 2 | LOWENSTEIN Penelope J. | V V V V | V V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 3 | BURN Lauren M. | V D V V | V V D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 3 | BOLES Savvianna | D V V D | V V D | 1.6 | 2 | +0.4 |
| 5 | AHUJA Arianna | V V V V | V D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 6 | SEMIKIN Julia | V V D V | V D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 7 | KIM Erika S. | V V V D | V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 8 | GLASER Drew | D V D V | V D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 9 | OH Kaitlin Y. | D V D V | D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 10 | STOECKEL Sofia I. | V V D D | D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 11 | NOBLE Adara | D D D V | D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 12 | STOCK Olivia | D D V D | D | 0.4 | 1 | +0.6 |
| 13 | COVITZ Ashley A. | D D D D | D | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| 14 | SCHULTZ Gillian | D D D D | D | 1.9 | 0 | -1.9 |
| 15 | MACEY Hadley | D D D D | D | 0.9 | 0 | -0.9 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |