Manhattan Fencing Center Foil Liberty Cup

Y-12 Men's Foil

Sunday, December 10, 2023 at 3:15 PM

Manhattan Fencing Center - New York, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 KO Caleb 100% 100% 99% 93% 64% 14%
2 XIAN Kevin 100% 100% 100% 95% 65%
3 SAMUEL Lucas 100% 98% 80% 41% 9%
3 OH Joshua 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
5 CHOI Hunter 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 7%
6 FREL Vincent 100% 99% 86% 50% 13%
7 SHOU Raymond 100% 99% 88% 53% 15%
8 KEEGAN Cole 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 15%
9 LEE Aeden 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
10 CAO Joshua 100% 99% 82% 42% 9%
11 SONG Enoch 100% 98% 82% 46% 13% 1%
12 EHIEMERE Ikemba 100% 90% 58% 21% 4% -
13 MONDESIR Chace 100% 69% 25% 4% -
14 ULYSSE Jacob 100% 99% 89% 53% 8%
15 JOHN Meru 100% 88% 49% 11% 1%
16 MARTIN Ahmir 100% 88% 46% 12% 2% -
17 BRADFORD-WATT Ezra 100% 83% 44% 12% 1% -
18 DEGRYSE Leopold 100% 67% 25% 5% 1% -
19 GLICKSBERG Alexander 100% 87% 46% 10% 1%
20 PLOSSER Charlie 100% 100% 95% 74% 32% 4%
21 MARTINSON Finn 100% 31% 4% - -
22 LIN Ethan 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.