The Fencing Center Winter RJCC

Junior Men's Saber

Sunday, December 10, 2023 at 2:00 PM

The Fencing Center of San Jose - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

#	Name	Number of victories
#	Name	0	1	2	3	4	5	6
1	RAMANAN Jaisimh	-	-	3%	18%	42%	37%
2	NGO Maximus	-	4%	19%	36%	31%	10%
3	HOLZ Lucas	-	-	2%	12%	33%	40%	14%
3	RAMTEKKAR Soham	-	4%	17%	36%	34%	10%
5	RAMANAN Govind	-	-	-	2%	13%	38%	47%
6	YAP Kah Kai (Cayden)	-	-	5%	22%	43%	29%
7	TSE Aiden J	-	-	-	4%	18%	43%	35%
8	WONG Lucas	-	3%	17%	38%	32%	9%
9	YU Casey	1%	9%	25%	34%	23%	7%	1%
10	OLARIO Raphael	-	3%	17%	35%	32%	11%	1%
11	LI AYDEN	-	6%	23%	37%	26%	7%
12	CHUA Jared	3%	20%	39%	28%	8%	1%
13	CHAN Henry	-	4%	17%	32%	31%	14%	2%
14	BULLARD Bennett	-	3%	17%	38%	33%	9%
15	IYER Neil	2%	14%	30%	32%	17%	4%	-
16	HRISTOV Kris	3%	16%	35%	32%	13%	2%
17	LI Yao (Liam)	-	5%	22%	37%	28%	8%
18	HO Anson	1%	6%	20%	33%	28%	11%	1%
19	VENKATRAMAN Sudhir	19%	39%	30%	10%	1%	-
20	ANUMULA Aryan	-	6%	25%	38%	24%	6%	1%
21	PROCOS Julian	1%	10%	30%	36%	19%	4%
22	LI Seth	1%	12%	33%	35%	17%	3%
23	SINGHAL Armaan	20%	38%	29%	11%	2%	-	-
24	HENRY Ethan	42%	41%	14%	2%	-	-	-
25	WANG Tiger	5%	23%	37%	26%	8%	1%
26	LISKOVETS Alec	10%	32%	36%	18%	4%	-
27	ZHENIROVSKYY Oleksandr	25%	44%	25%	6%	1%	-
28	TAN Ryan	1%	7%	26%	37%	23%	6%	-
29	VOSPER James	15%	45%	30%	8%	1%	-	-
30	XU James	24%	44%	25%	6%	1%	-
31	VO Landon	5%	22%	35%	26%	10%	2%	-
32	ASPIRAS Piers	78%	20%	2%	-	-	-

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

Each cell in a fencer's row corresponds to a specific number of victories, starting from the left with no victories and increasing to the right, indicating victories in all bouts.
The shading of each cell represents the probability of that particular victory outcome for the fencer. Darker shades indicate higher probabilities, suggesting that the outcome is more likely based on past performances. On the other hand, lighter shades point towards less probable outcomes.
The boxed number in a cell represents the actual number of victories the fencer achieved in the pool, making it easy to compare predicted probabilities with actual outcomes at a glance.
By examining the gradient from lighter to darker cells, you can get an intuitive sense of where a fencer's victories are more or less expected based on their historical performance.

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.

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