Event Results
Fencing Center of Chicago RYC & RJCCSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | SONN Rohan | V V V V V | V V V V | 3.2 | 5 | +1.8 |
| 2 | TIKHOMIROV Theodore | V V V V | V V V D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 3 | SILVERS Ari | D V V V | V V D | 3.4 | 3 | -0.4 |
| 3 | ZHENG Andy | V D V V | V V D | 2.6 | 3 | +0.4 |
| 5 | KARNAS Karol | V V V D | V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 6 | DHAL Leon | V V D V | V D | 1.5 | 3 | +1.5 |
| 7 | KARAM Mateo | V D V D D | V D | 1.9 | 2 | +0.1 |
| 8 | LOISEAU Eliott | D V D D V | V D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 9 | ZHENG Jerry | D D V V | D | 1.2 | 2 | +0.8 |
| 10 | SPINA Joseph B. | D V V D D | D | 3.5 | 2 | -1.5 |
| 11 | STEVENSON Emitt M. | D D D V V | D | 1.8 | 2 | +0.2 |
| 11 | WALIGORA Krystian | V D D V D | D | 2.3 | 2 | -0.3 |
| 13 | WALIGORA Sebastian | D V D D | D | 2.3 | 1 | -1.3 |
| 14 | GREENFIELD David N. | D V D D | D | 2.4 | 1 | -1.4 |
| 15 | WILMORE Miles | D D D D | D | 0.2 | 0 | -0.2 |
| 16 | CHADDERTON William | D D D D | D | 0.8 | 0 | -0.8 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |