SoCal Junior Olympic Qualifiers and Y-12

Cadet Men's Épée

Sunday, December 10, 2023 at 1:15 PM

Colina Middle School - Gymnasium - Los Angeles, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEE Royce 100% 98% 84% 55% 23% 5% -
2 SHIN Ryan 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 46% 13%
3 AUSTIN Atlas 100% 99% 94% 77% 46% 17% 3%
3 BANGAYAN Anthony 100% 100% 97% 83% 55% 23% 4%
5 STAFFORD Bryan 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
6 CHARETTE Alex 100% 99% 93% 71% 38% 12% 2%
7 KIM Tristan 100% 96% 78% 46% 18% 4% -
8 SCHERZAY Ian 100% 96% 78% 46% 18% 4% -
9 WOO Lucas 100% 98% 84% 57% 26% 7% 1%
10 KIM Remington 100% 97% 83% 54% 23% 6% 1%
11 O’CONNOR Nathan (Finn) 100% 100% 98% 90% 69% 36% 9%
12 MAXU Tiger 100% 99% 95% 78% 48% 18% 3%
13 CHEONG Cameron 100% 88% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
14 FU Adrian 100% 92% 65% 31% 9% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.