SoCal Junior Olympic Qualifiers and Y-12

Cadet Women's Épée

Sunday, December 10, 2023 at 3:30 PM

Colina Middle School - Gymnasium - Los Angeles, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KANE Chloe 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 31%
2 MOHEBI Neeka 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
3 SHERMAN Olivia 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 8%
3 CHEONG Chloe 100% 100% 99% 96% 80% 48% 14%
5 MOORADIAN Anya 100% 98% 88% 62% 29% 8% 1%
6 OKUNYAN Anna 100% 100% 98% 90% 67% 33% 8%
7 YOUSSEF Caroline 100% 99% 92% 67% 29% 5%
8 CHENG Yiwen 100% 85% 50% 19% 4% - -
9 TSUI Zoe 100% 95% 74% 40% 14% 3% -
10 GALLUP Elise 100% 98% 83% 49% 15% 2%
11 CHENG Liwen 100% 89% 53% 18% 3% -
12 UEMURA Lyllia 100% 62% 20% 3% - -
13 SHETTY Nandita 100% 96% 79% 47% 17% 4% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.