SAS D & Under Foil

Div III Mixed Foil

Friday, December 15, 2023 at 7:30 PM

Salle Auriol Seattle - Seattle, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG Li 100% 100% 94% 68% 29% 5%
2 KIM Harrison 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 32%
3 BEAVER Ava 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 25%
3 HARROCH Faustin 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 11%
5 FECAROTTA Ryan 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 40% 8%
6 CHRISTIAN Jonathan 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 25%
7 BEAVER Hannah 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 31%
8 PENG Dion 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
9 HAN Ashley 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 17%
10 PIERSON Sophie 100% 100% 98% 85% 55% 19% 3%
11 COSGROVE Jameson 100% 99% 95% 75% 41% 10%
12 UYPECKCUAT Maximillian Trajan 100% 99% 85% 44% 10% 1%
13 KIM Teo 100% 99% 83% 39% 8% 1%
14 COWLER Harry 100% 99% 86% 52% 17% 3% -
15 WATT Bobby 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 59% 18%
16 BERKE Daniel (Dan) L. 100% 100% 94% 65% 22% 3%
17 ANDKEN Marie 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 8% 1%
18 SHIN Jaelynn 100% 95% 69% 30% 7% 1% -
19 KRYLTSOV Greg 100% 100% 94% 69% 29% 4%
20 VALENTINE Eoin 100% 94% 50% 12% 1% -
21 LOUIE Keon 100% 88% 56% 21% 4% -
22 BACON Maxwell 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% -
23 CANNON Ezra Xavier 100% 94% 60% 21% 4% - -
23 CHANG Joseph 100% 93% 61% 22% 4% - -
25 HEATH Chad 100% 99% 85% 50% 17% 3% -
26 LIPPAI Sarah 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 16%
27 PAN Jessica 100% 99% 84% 46% 12% 1%
28 ANDKEN Ben 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 2%
29 AMMAR Sam 100% 22% 1% - - -
30 ROBLES Michael 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
31 NICHOLSON John 100% 49% 12% 2% - - -
32 BOWYER Amanda 100% 31% 4% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.