Event Results
GRAFA Winter Cup, D & Under\Youth Epee and FoilSurprise Map
Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | ZHAO Jason | V V V V V | V V V V | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| 2 | CHASE Crosby | V V V V V | V V V D | 3.2 | 5 | +1.8 |
| 3 | WILLIAMS Thomas | V V V V | V V D | 2.4 | 4 | +1.6 |
| 3 | DEHAAN Dalton | V V V V D | V V D | 2.1 | 4 | +1.9 |
| 5 | THURSTON Gemma | V V V D V | V D | 1.8 | 4 | +2.2 |
| 6 | VANOOSTERHOUT Lexi | V V D V | V D | 1.1 | 3 | +1.9 |
| 7 | NICHOLSON Abigail | V D D V V | V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 8 | VANOOSTERHOUT Allie | D V V V D | V D | 1.8 | 3 | +1.2 |
| 9 | KU Amanda | D V V D | D | 2.2 | 2 | -0.2 |
| 10 | CHAVEZ Beatrix | D V V D D | D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 11 | ZUIDEMA Harrison | D D D V V | D | 1.4 | 2 | +0.6 |
| 12 | LEE Eun-Hae | D D D V | D | 2.7 | 1 | -1.7 |
| 13 | KOZUB Joslyn | V D D D D | D | 3.5 | 1 | -2.5 |
| 14 | VLIEM Henry | D D D D V | D | 1.8 | 1 | -0.8 |
| 15 | LUND Jonah | D D D D | D | 1.6 | 0 | -1.6 |
| 16 | MIKULENAS Leighton | D D D D D | V D | 3.3 | 0 | -3.3 |
| 17 | MARVEL Elliot | D D D D D | D | 3.3 | 0 | -3.3 |
| Color | Outcome | Difficulty | Win Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |