2023 Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Saturday, December 16, 2023 at 1:00 PM

Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZOU Ella 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 74%
2 LI Joy 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 40%
3 BROWN Lola 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 70%
3 LI Alice 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 33%
5 AL-BATTAINEH Eva 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 27%
6 TAO Ann 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 26%
7 CHAN Ella 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 14% 1%
8 DUAN Sophie 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
9 KRAHE Annika 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 18%
10 SAH Madeleine 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 10% 1%
11 WANG Doreen 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 43% 10%
12 SOE Hayleigh 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 20%
13 LAI Miranda 100% 100% 95% 77% 44% 13% 1%
14 DAI Iris Yuyang 100% 100% 100% 95% 72% 30% 3%
15 CHANG Lydia 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 24% 3%
16 KIM Lauren 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 3%
17 YAO Abby 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 16%
18 HU Sophie 100% 99% 85% 50% 17% 3% -
19 ZHANG Gwenyth 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
20 WANG DINA C. 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 20%
21 CHAN Mila 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 41% 8%
22 PARK Lauren 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 8%
23 WANG Yanxuan(Alicia) 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
24 PECK Madeleine 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2% -
25 HOROWITZ Shuli 100% 100% 99% 89% 57% 18% 1%
26 KIM Sydney 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 23%
27 HOM Avery 100% 99% 94% 76% 42% 13% 2%
28 LEE Jeemin 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 29%
29 KNAPP Isabella 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 19% 2%
30 ORBÉ-AUSTIN Maya 100% 100% 91% 62% 25% 4%
31 HUGHES Olivia 100% 100% 88% 55% 20% 3%
32 KIM Alison 100% 100% 92% 60% 20% 3% -
33 CHO Karis 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 2%
34 LEE Zoe 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 4%
35 KENSICKI Phoebe 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 26% 2%
36 HAFEZ Sahar 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 18% 1%
37 RIVERA Leahy 100% 97% 81% 48% 18% 3% -
38 KIM Natalie 100% 96% 76% 42% 13% 2%
39 KOSCIK-AQUINO Emily 100% 100% 91% 62% 25% 4%
40 ZHAO Olivia 100% 98% 84% 53% 21% 4% -
41 ZOU JIAYING 100% 99% 88% 51% 15% 2% -
42 WATSON Evelyn 100% 98% 84% 48% 15% 2% -
43 TELEB Farida 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 2% -
44 BOIKE Lucille 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 55% 16%
45 MALIK Manha 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 21% 3%
46 KOU Elisha 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
47 YU Sophie 100% 100% 92% 65% 28% 5%
48 MILCH Noa 100% 93% 67% 32% 8% 1%
49 FENG Esther 100% 93% 62% 22% 4% - -
50 LIU Ariana 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11% 1%
51 LIU Ashley 100% 100% 92% 66% 29% 6% -
52 TEWARI Amaira 100% 88% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
53 LEE Abigail 100% 99% 90% 60% 24% 4% -
54 LI Emma Jing 100% 88% 50% 13% 2% - -
54 CHEN Aimee 100% 84% 45% 14% 2% - -
56 CHEN Madeleine 100% 87% 53% 20% 4% - -
57 ZHAN Catherine 100% 95% 68% 29% 7% 1% -
57 DUVVA Sanika 100% 96% 69% 30% 7% 1% -
59 SINGH Evangelina 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
60 YU Xintong 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1%
61 KIM Audrey 100% 98% 84% 51% 18% 3% -
62 BEHL Alessandra 100% 93% 59% 20% 3% - -
63 HOM Emma 100% 87% 48% 12% 1% - -
64 LIN Athena 100% 84% 41% 10% 1% - -
65 ANWEILER Megan 100% 93% 50% 13% 2% - -
66 HU Avery 100% 13% 1% - - -
67 CHENG Audrey 100% 70% 26% 4% - - -
68 GOITIA Genevieve 100% 97% 82% 50% 19% 3% -
69 ETIKALA Saanvi 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -
70 HO Peyton 100% 84% 47% 16% 3% - -
71 LEE Madeleine 100% 52% 12% 1% - - -
71 UPADRASHTA Anvi 100% 53% 12% 1% - - -
73 TORNBERG Reagan 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -
74 CHIN Riley 100% 39% 7% 1% - - -
75 FENG Christy 100% 27% 2% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.