2023 Austin Challenge SYC and RCC

Y-14 Men's Saber

Monday, December 18, 2023 at 8:30 AM

Round Rock Sports Center - Round Rock, TX, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GONZALEZ Jake 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 16%
2 CAO Donald 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 3%
3 CAO Oliver 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 46% 11%
3 ZHANG Kaixuan 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
5 KITSON Chase 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
6 CLARK Aram 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 46%
7 LI AYDEN 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 21%
8 MUNGUIA Nathan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
9 BRIMMER Robert (Trey) 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 42% 10%
10 LI Huangziyue 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 15% 2%
11 XUE Leo 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
12 YU Casey 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 5%
13 GREENSTEIN Viktor 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
14 HUANG Caleb 100% 100% 93% 63% 26% 5% -
15 WANG Max 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 17%
16 OLSON Kai 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
17 KROON Landon 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
18 SRIVATS Vedh 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 70% 26%
19 HWANG Hagan 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 14%
20 SALMAN Hamzah 100% 100% 95% 77% 45% 15% 2%
21 WONG Lucas 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
22 ZHANG KAIQI 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3%
23 YU BOWEN 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 33% 7%
24 GU Andrew 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
25 VO Landon 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
26 ZHAO Royce 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
27 KWON Kenneth 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 27% 4%
28 BOSITA Brennan 100% 98% 87% 58% 25% 6% 1%
29 KU Collin 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% - -
30 CHEN Kevin 100% 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
31 LIU Yijin 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 9% 1%
32 GRABOWSKI Stanley 100% 63% 22% 4% - - -
33 LI Yidong A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 10%
34 CHENG Sawyer 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 24% 4%
35 LUC Cedric 100% 98% 85% 56% 23% 5% -
36 MEADE Liam R. 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 1%
37 WONG David 100% 94% 68% 30% 7% 1% -
38 ZHAO Aidan 100% 94% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
39 DIXON Allan 100% 72% 27% 5% 1% - -
40 XIAO Brayden 100% 100% 95% 78% 45% 15% 2%
41 RONG Jasper 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 7%
42 LAU Kyrus 100% 88% 56% 22% 4% -
43 SONG Aidan 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
44 ROH Jaden 100% 79% 41% 13% 2% - -
45 SLAVNOV Anton 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 7% 1%
45 KIM WOO JIN 100% 92% 62% 24% 5% - -
47 BADMUS Joshua 100% 100% 95% 75% 38% 10% 1%
48 WANG Alex 100% 96% 76% 40% 12% 1%
49 YUEN Caleb 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 2%
50 NAMBIAR Navin 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1%
50 KAMURA Kosei 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% -
52 LIU Guanyu 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% - -
53 SANTIAGO Roman 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -
54 HOLMES Xavier 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
55 GUO Jonathan 100% 74% 26% 4% - - -
56 GRABOWSKI Alexander 100% 98% 86% 56% 24% 6% 1%
57 LIU Daniel 100% 97% 79% 42% 11% 1% -
57 MAI Ryan 100% 62% 16% 2% - - -
59 JEONG JUNWOO 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
60 BACK SEUNGWOO 100% 65% 18% 2% - - -
61 WANG Brian 100% 75% 32% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.