H3 Oreo Cup 2023 #3

Junior Mixed Saber

Thursday, December 28, 2023 at 11:00 AM

Hills Fencing Institute (H3) - East Northport, NY, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 CUSUMANO Neal 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 16%
2 LIU Isaak 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 30%
3 SHELMIDINE Cole 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 2%
3 SUBA Lucas 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
5 SCHIMEL Luke 100% 99% 95% 77% 47% 19% 4% -
6 LOSQUADRO Joseph 100% 94% 71% 38% 12% 2% - -
7 PIENKOWSKI Jakub 100% 96% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
8 SHELLEY Scarlett 100% 99% 89% 63% 30% 8% 1% -
9 SAGASTIZADO Joshua 100% 99% 91% 68% 35% 10% 1%
10 QUAIL Jonathan 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 30% 7% 1%
11 WOLMART Zander 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 4% -
12 GETZONI Mary 100% 82% 42% 11% 1% - - -
13 BARNES Sarah 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 8% 1%
14 HAUSLER Jayden 100% 85% 49% 17% 3% - -
15 LIN Cynthia 100% 100% 93% 66% 24% 3% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.