20th Annual Will Fence For Food

Div III Mixed Foil

Friday, December 29, 2023 at 8:30 AM

Wasatch Fencing - Kaysville, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SEAL Ayda 100% 91% 58% 20% 3% -
2 FERGUSON Aliya 100% 98% 87% 55% 19% 2%
3 WHITESIDES Ella 100% 100% 100% 99% 83% 25%
3 FERGUSON Jason 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 13%
5 NORRIS Graham 100% 100% 95% 72% 32% 3%
6 THOMSON Hyrum 100% 100% 99% 86% 50% 13%
7 NORRIS Erin 100% 96% 70% 31% 7% 1%
8 AMIN Eli 100% 100% 94% 70% 32% 6%
9 MERRIAM Isaiah 100% 100% 94% 67% 23% 3%
10 MARTINSON Aleks 100% 100% 93% 66% 28% 5%
11 RIGBY Ellie 100% 100% 96% 78% 38% 4%
12 PADDOCK Hannah 100% 77% 32% 5% - -
13 BOYNTON Alex 100% 71% 19% 2% - -
14 WHITESIDES Abby 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2%
15 LITTLE Alex 100% 75% 33% 7% 1% -
16 MONSEN Josanna 100% 99% 89% 58% 22% 3%
17 DODGE Tristan 100% 96% 73% 30% 5% -
18 RANDS Tanner 100% 99% 86% 51% 16% 2%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.