20th Annual Will Fence For Food

Div III Mixed Saber

Friday, December 29, 2023 at 11:30 AM

Wasatch Fencing - Kaysville, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SEAL Max 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 59% 13%
2 JEFFERY Jakob 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
3 SEAL Cameron 100% 97% 72% 30% 6% - -
3 ENIKEEVA Luibov 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 47% 10%
5 THOMSON Hyrum 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
6 DELISLE Jonas 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
7 WHITESIDES Abby 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 29%
8 MADSEN Eric 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
9 MERRIAM Isaiah 100% 95% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
10 FERGUSON Aliya 100% 83% 44% 12% 2% - -
11 COVA Naomi 100% 99% 88% 59% 23% 4% -
12 WHITESIDES Scott 100% 100% 96% 80% 50% 19% 3%
13 RIGBY Ellie 100% 95% 71% 35% 10% 1% -
14 LITTLE Alex 100% 85% 38% 9% 1% - -
15 TERP Lucy 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 7% 1%
16 FERGUSON Jason 100% 100% 95% 68% 27% 5% -
17 KURTH Maya 100% 81% 41% 11% 2% - -
18 SEAL Ayda 100% 100% 96% 75% 35% 7% -
19 NORRIS Erin 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 8% 1%
20 GRAVIS Martin 100% 84% 48% 16% 3% - -
21 TONIOLLI Owen 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.