20th Annual Will Fence For Food

Senior Mixed Foil

Saturday, December 30, 2023 at 8:00 AM

Wasatch Fencing - Kaysville, UT, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 SAH Steven 100% 99% 87% 53% 17% 2%
2 SHEN Cindy 100% 100% 92% 60% 20% 2%
3 DELISLE Jonas 100% 99% 91% 65% 29% 6%
3 SEAL Max 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 34%
5 JEFFERY Jakob 100% 100% 98% 85% 50% 13%
6 MADSEN Eric 100% 100% 98% 86% 44%
7 THOMSON Hyrum 100% 100% 98% 81% 40% 8%
8 CHRISTENSEN Parker 100% 97% 75% 31% 4%
9 SEAL Julie 100% 100% 99% 84% 46% 10%
10 SEAL Cameron 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
11 WU Lucas 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 30%
12 FERGUSON Jason 100% 98% 71% 30% 6% 1%
13 FERGUSON Aliya 100% 91% 35% 5% -
14 MERRIAM Isaiah 100% 99% 89% 61% 26% 5%
15 LITTLE Alex 100% 42% 6% - - -
16 WHITESIDES Ella 100% 100% 87% 38% 5%
17 SEAL Ayda 100% 75% 27% 3% -
18 BOYNTON Alex 100% 67% 15% 1% - -
19 WHITESIDES Abby 100% 93% 53% 12% 1% -
20 RIGBY Ellie 100% 100% 94% 65% 21% -
21 LIMA Roberto 100% 99% 92% 66% 27% 4%
22 WHITESIDES Scott 100% 43% 9% 1% - -
23 MARTINSON Aleks 100% 96% 72% 25% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.