Boston Fencing Club RYC

Y-12 Men's Épée

Sunday, December 31, 2023 at 11:00 AM

Boston Fencing Club - Boston, MA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SINGLETON Aman 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
2 CAFASSO Alexander 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 41% 10%
3 BO Genero 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 4% -
3 WU Matthew 100% 100% 96% 81% 50% 18% 3%
5 WANG Marcus 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% < 1%
6 LEE Harrison 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15% -
7 SZCZAPA Lukas 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
8 WANG-SONG Evan 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 16%
9 HAN Keyi 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 20% 3%
10 RICHARDSON Matthew 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
11 CHEN Daniel 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10%
12 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 9%
13 WITHERELL Logan 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 4%
14 DAI Jason 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 17% 3%
15 ARMSTRONG Payson 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10%
16 MA Brendon 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 24% 4%
17 ZHENG Jason 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 45%
18 FOGEL Jake 100% 89% 58% 24% 6% 1% -
19 WHITE Jackson 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6% -
20 CHEN Cameron 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 2%
21 CAVALLARO Sebastian 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
22 WHITE Leonardo 100% 89% 57% 21% 4% - -
23 SHI Evan 100% 95% 74% 39% 12% 2% -
24 LI Jayden 100% 91% 60% 24% 6% 1% -
25 MCGANN Grant 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
26 GENG Michael 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
27 YOON Jonathan 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 8% -
28 ROFINO Samuel 100% 84% 47% 15% 3% - -
29 CHEN Evan 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 24% 4%
30 MCGINLEY Felix 100% 88% 54% 21% 4% 1% -
31 MALLAKIS Efstathios 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1% -
32 DANA Miles 100% 60% 19% 3% - - -
33 WILLIAMS Gavin 100% 92% 62% 25% 6% 1% -
34 LIU Kyle 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 4% -
35 LINQIN George 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 8% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.