January NAC

Vet-40 Men's Épée

Friday, January 5, 2024 at 8:00 AM

San Jose McEnery Convention Center - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LOISEAU Cedric 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 73%
2 MANDOKI Sandor I. 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
3 CHANDLER Paul F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 77% 35%
3 MAKMATOV Vadim 100% 100% 96% 78% 39% 8%
5 PHO Eric 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 9%
6 MENDOZA Zandro 100% 99% 84% 50% 18% 3% -
7 ROSTAL Scott E. 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 24% 3%
8 BARTLETT Jonathan R. 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 34% 7%
9 HANSEN Eric J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
10 HEDGES Philip S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 68% 12%
11 LIOU Solomon 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 11%
12 STEPHAN Jens 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 15%
13 LYTLE Evan 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
14 MACZIK Adam W. 100% 100% 100% 97% 71% 19% 1%
15 RODACHY Jeffrey M. 100% 98% 86% 54% 20% 4% -
16 MARSH Timothy G. 100% 100% 98% 78% 27% 3% -
17 CARTER Austin L. 100% 100% 96% 78% 45% 14% 2%
18 SMITH Brandon J. 100% 91% 58% 22% 5% - -
19 ARROWSMITH II Alan M. 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 1%
20 CHENG Thomas 100% 100% 98% 84% 50% 17% 2%
21 SANTOS Felipe 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% - -
22 SLOAN Ryan 100% 92% 42% 6% - - -
23 TRAN NOBLE 100% 89% 57% 23% 5% 1% -
24 BARANOWSKI Philip 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 6% -
25 KIM Jeff 100% 82% 41% 10% 1% -
26 CHU Brandon A. 100% 85% 45% 12% 2% -
27 LOCASALE Nicholas A. 100% 87% 51% 15% 2% -
28 SILKEY Jason 100% 22% 1% - - - -
29 STOCK Jordan 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3% -
30 REED David 100% 33% 5% - - - -
31 RYAN Christopher 100% 98% 72% 22% 2% - -
32 ONGSITCO Mark L. 100% 97% 81% 45% 14% 2% -
33 LIN Kimball 100% 97% 74% 35% 9% 1% -
34 WONG David 100% 75% 35% 9% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.