San Jose McEnery Convention Center - San Jose, CA, USA
Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.
| # | Name | Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * | Pool Victories | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pool | DE | Exp. | Act. | Diff. | ||
| 1 | O'LOUGHLIN Chris S. | V V V V V | V V V V V | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| 2 | HITCHCOCK David | D V V V V V | V V V V D | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 3 | GATES Darcy C. | V V D D V V | V V V V D | 4.8 | 4 | -0.8 |
| 3 | LEE Tobias (Toby) T. | V V D V V V | V V V D | 4.6 | 5 | +0.4 |
| 5 | LICHTEN Keith H. | V V V V V V | V V D | 5.7 | 6 | +0.3 |
| 6 | HERGERT Earl | V D V V V V | V V D | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 7 | GAINES Aaron | V V V V V D | V V D | 4.5 | 5 | +0.5 |
| 8 | BARREIRO Darren | D V V V V | V V V D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 9 | MEHALL Michael | V V V V V V | V D | 4.7 | 6 | +1.3 |
| 10 | DEUCHER Joseph H. | V D V V V V | V D | 4.7 | 5 | +0.3 |
| 11 | MAYCHROWITZ Matt | V D V V V V | V D | 3.5 | 5 | +1.5 |
| 12 | HARGROVE Charles | V V V D V | V V D | 2.9 | 4 | +1.1 |
| 13 | SNIDER Jeffrey H. | V D V V V D | V V D | 4.2 | 4 | -0.2 |
| 14 | PRIHODKO Andrew | V D V V D V | V V D | 3.0 | 4 | +1.0 |
| 15 | KAUFMAN Joel H. | D D V V V | V V D | 1.9 | 3 | +1.1 |
| 16 | CRANOR Erich L. | V V V D D | V V D | 2.8 | 3 | +0.2 |
| 17 | HUNTER Justin | V V D V V V | D | 4.0 | 5 | +1.0 |
| 18 | SPRINGER Michael | V V D V V | V D | 2.8 | 4 | +1.2 |
| 19 | SPEICHER Eric V. | D V V D V V | V D | 3.1 | 4 | +0.9 |
| 20 | SUPONYA Sergey | V V D V V D | V D | 4.8 | 4 | -0.8 |
| 21 | KURITZ Marc M. | D D V V V V | V D | 3.5 | 4 | +0.5 |
| 22 | PALTINISEANU Sorin | V V D D V V | V D | 3.7 | 4 | +0.3 |
| 23 | FOSTER Kyle P. | D V D V V | V D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 24 | CLAWSON Brian C. | D D V V V D | V D | 3.0 | 3 | - |
| 25 | HELGE James R. | V D V D V D | V D | 3.5 | 3 | -0.5 |
| 26 | HILLSTROM Nathan | D D V V D V | V D | 2.3 | 3 | +0.7 |
| 27 | GREGORY Dean | D V V V D D | V D | 3.1 | 3 | -0.1 |
| 28 | STEWART Robert | D D V V V D | V D | 2.4 | 3 | +0.6 |
| 29 | ROOD Alex | D V D D V V | V D | 2.7 | 3 | +0.3 |
| 30 | YAO Shun | V V V D D D | V D | 3.7 | 3 | -0.7 |
| 31 | PENGELLY Neil | V D D V D | V D | 3.1 | 2 | -1.1 |
| 32 | LEE Stephen K. | D V D D D D | V D | 2.5 | 1 | -1.5 |
| 33 | KRYLTSOV Greg | V V V D V D | D | 2.5 | 4 | +1.5 |
| 34 | GAO "George" Xiaojiang | D V V V D D | D | 1.3 | 3 | +1.7 |
| 35 | GREENBAUM Isaac | V V V D D D | D | 4.0 | 3 | -1.0 |
| 36 | DAVIS Andrew | D V V D V D | D | 2.9 | 3 | +0.1 |
| 37 | BRUS Brian V. | D D V D D V | D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 38 | LIU Nathan | V D D D D V | D | 0.4 | 2 | +1.6 |
| 39 | CLINEFELTER Dennis S. | D V D D D V | D | 2.5 | 2 | -0.5 |
| 40 | BAILEY Creston P. | D D D D V V | D | 3.7 | 2 | -1.7 |
| 41 | MCNAMARA Scott | D V D D D V | D | 2.4 | 2 | -0.4 |
| 42 | WEINTRAUB Adam | D V D V D D | D | 2.1 | 2 | -0.1 |
| 43 | CHAO Warren | V D D D D | D | 0.5 | 1 | +0.5 |
| 44 | FLY Paul | D D V D D | D | 2.2 | 1 | -1.2 |
| 45 | GETSLA Christopher W. | D D V D D D | D | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| 46 | LOGUE Paul | D V D D D D | D | 1.1 | 1 | -0.1 |
| 47 | LUONG Allen | V D D D D D | D | 3.0 | 1 | -2.0 |
| 48 | DJURISIC Zoran M. | V D D D D D | D | 1.2 | 1 | -0.2 |
| 49 | NEMAZIE David A. | D D D D D | D | 2.0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| 50 | MORALES Wayne w | D D D D D D | D | 1.5 | 0 | -1.5 |
| 51 | HOROWITZ David S. | D D D D D D | D | 0.7 | 0 | -0.7 |
| 52 | JEFFCOAT Timothy | D D D D D | D | 0.4 | 0 | -0.4 |
| 53 | ROGERS John D. | D D D D D D | D | 0.1 | 0 | -0.1 |
| 54 | FELDMAN Louis | D D D D D D | D | 0.4 | 0 | -0.4 |
Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).
| Color | Outcome | Opponent's Difficulty | Probability of Victory |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victory | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Victory | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Victory | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Victory | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Victory | Very Easy | 80% to 100% | |
| Defeat | Very Hard | 0% to 20% | |
| Defeat | Hard | 20% to 40% | |
| Defeat | Roughly Even | 40% to 60% | |
| Defeat | Easy | 60% to 80% | |
| Defeat | Very Easy | 80% to 100% |
The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:
This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.