January NAC

Div I Women's Foil

Friday, January 5, 2024 at 8:30 AM

San Jose McEnery Convention Center - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KIEFER Lee O. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93%
2 RHODES Zander 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 62%
3 SCRUGGS Lauren S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 80%
3 WEINTRAUB Maia M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 74%
5 LUNG Katerina 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 49%
6 DESCHNER Stefani K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
7 CHO Rebecca H. 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4%
8 JING Emily 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 32%
9 KONG Chin-Yi 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
10 LEE Lavender 100% 98% 81% 46% 14% 2%
11 TAFFEL sara 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 55%
12 HAYES Nadia 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 8%
13 CHENG Evelyn 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 11%
14 DEVORE Delphine P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 51%
15 LESLIE Ryanne T. 100% 100% 98% 88% 58% 18%
16 EYER Hailey M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 41% 9%
17 ZHANG Yunjia 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 47%
18 FEDELI Caterina S. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 7%
19 NISSINOFF Alexandra 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 3% -
20 MASSIALAS Sabrina C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 84%
20 QIAN Crystal 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 21%
22 LIU Jaelyn A. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 21%
23 FANG Sabrina 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 35%
24 CHO Sabrina N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 48%
25 ANDREYENKA Hanna 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
26 CHEN Renee 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 10% 1%
27 CHUSID Mikayla 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 20%
28 CHEN Allison V. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 6%
29 CHEN Jia P. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 23%
30 ZHENG Vivian 100% 100% 98% 83% 44% 8%
31 OUYANG Bridgette Z. 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 7%
32 LIU Joy Zhaoyi 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
33 PARK Rowan M. 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 23% 3%
34 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 13%
35 PARTRIDGE Morgan K. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 51%
36 LEE Jiahn (Lana) 100% 98% 85% 50% 16% 2% -
37 ANDREYENKA Yana 100% 100% 99% 95% 78% 43% 11%
38 SONG Yuqiao Aprille 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 6% 1%
39 YANG Iris 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17% 2%
40 SOOD Ishani S. 100% 99% 92% 69% 34% 10% 1%
41 SHEN Lydia 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
42 GEBALA Gabrielle Grace A. 100% 100% 96% 77% 39% 7%
43 HOSONO Rei W. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 21%
43 LEE Alina 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 68% 24%
45 CAO Arianna L. 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 74% 32%
46 PEVZNER Victoria 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 28% 5%
47 DAVIS Bonnie Z. 100% 99% 88% 56% 19% 2% -
48 LEE Brianna J. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 33% 3%
49 SENIC Adeline 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 37% 7%
50 GRIFFIN Emma G. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 63% 7%
50 HO Brianna W. 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 46% 11%
52 DAI Zizhuo (Zizi) 100% 92% 62% 25% 5% - -
53 STAMOS Maria 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 19%
54 PEVZNER Nicole 100% 91% 59% 20% 3% - -
55 ZHAO Sophie L. 100% 100% 95% 77% 40% 8% 1%
56 KIM Katherine 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
57 KIM Rachael 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 19%
58 CHO Cameron S. 100% 91% 59% 23% 4% -
59 LIN Zhi Tong 100% 80% 41% 11% 2% -
60 SHEN Sophia H. 100% 100% 100% 96% 82% 49% 14%
61 HSU Kaylin 100% 91% 61% 26% 6% 1% -
62 SWANSON Alexa 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% - -
63 KOROL Neta 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 10% -
64 TAN Kaitlyn N. 100% 100% 96% 73% 30% 4%
65 CHUSID Renata M. 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 53% 7%
65 YANG Audrey 100% 98% 83% 40% 6% < 1% -
67 CAO Ying 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 23%
68 HUNG Juliana K. 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 12% 1%
69 CHO Emily (Euran) 100% 97% 81% 46% 14% 2% -
70 NEWHARD Zelia "Zizi" 100% 99% 90% 56% 16% 2% -
71 CHANG Elizabeth 100% 68% 24% 4% - -
72 ZHUANG Christina 100% 48% 9% 1% - -
73 KOENIG Charlotte R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
74 KNIGHT Skylar 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
75 LUO Sandra J. 100% 98% 83% 42% 9% 1% -
76 ZHANG Alina C. 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 16% 1%
77 NAMGALAURI Mariam 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 5% -
78 SUN Ruoxi 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 13% 1%
78 BIODROWICZ Julia 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
80 YU Jane 100% 85% 36% 6% - - -
81 JO Mia C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 23% 1%
82 SHEN Emilia 100% 96% 76% 38% 10% 1% -
83 CASTANEDA Keira 100% 95% 66% 21% 3% - -
83 MEI Sarah 100% 94% 70% 33% 7% 1% -
85 MANIKTALA Prisha 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
86 MI Aileen 100% 96% 68% 28% 5% - -
87 WANG CAROL 100% 78% 37% 10% 1% - -
87 ROZPEDOWSKI Claire 100% 64% 20% 3% - - -
89 KORABLINA Aleksandra 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 42% 2%
90 KIM Rachel 100% 98% 80% 43% 13% 2% -
91 LEUNG Mei Hang (Danise) 100% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1% -
92 RENTON Samantha 100% 100% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
93 LOCKE Savannah 100% 99% 91% 62% 23% 3% -
94 LEE Yejine 100% 100% 100% 98% 82% 38% 3%
95 ZHANG Eunice 100% 90% 58% 22% 4% - -
96 SEO IRENE Y. 100% 98% 84% 50% 15% 2%
97 KLINE Melissa C. 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
98 WANDJI Anais 100% 90% 59% 22% 4% -
99 SEIGEL Norah 100% 86% 51% 16% 2% -
100 ZHOU Catherine 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
101 TORRES JIMENA 100% 100% 94% 73% 37% 10% 1%
102 YAO Ada 100% 94% 66% 26% 5% - -
103 WANG Ellen 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 14%
103 OH Erin H. 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 23% 2%
105 ZHENG Julie 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% - -
106 LAI Sophia 100% 94% 67% 28% 5% - -
107 ORVANANOS Anice 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 3% -
108 CHOW Annabelle 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1% -
109 RANDOLPH Piper 100% 97% 79% 44% 15% 3% -
110 DU Hannah 100% 93% 62% 23% 4% - -
111 BREKER Anika 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 35% 7%
112 MARKOVSKY Nina 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
113 CHEN Chloe I. 100% 100% 90% 62% 27% 6% 1%
114 DRAGNE Alexis D. 100% 94% 65% 26% 5% - -
115 YAN Noelle 100% 67% 24% 4% - - -
115 LUO Ziyue 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
117 SHENG Chuxi 100% 89% 53% 17% 3% - -
118 FUNG Vera 100% 93% 62% 23% 4% -
119 GU Maggie Runlin 100% 81% 32% 5% - -
120 LEE Annora Y. 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 14%
121 BARNETTE Zoe 100% 99% 87% 47% 12% 1%
122 LI Eleanor 100% 94% 69% 32% 7% 1% -
123 JANG Kimberley 100% 100% 98% 86% 52% 13% 1%
123 LEE Fiona E. 100% 79% 32% 6% - - -
125 GALAVOTTI Claire Teresa 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 24% 2%
126 WANG Jasmine 100% 80% 38% 9% 1% - -
127 DENG Melissa 100% 75% 27% 3% - - -
128 HAN Crystal 100% 99% 87% 47% 9% - -
129 MORADI Raiyan N. 100% 92% 61% 24% 5% - -
130 GOOR Viviene E. 100% 100% 96% 76% 36% 7% -
131 KOSTELNY Alexis 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 2% -
132 DO Leila 100% 76% 33% 7% 1% - -
133 SUN Emily 100% 80% 37% 9% 1% - -
134 SUN Chien-Yu 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
135 HU Felice 100% 62% 16% 1% - - -
136 PROCOPIO Lucia 100% 99% 89% 59% 21% 3% -
137 PALMER Meredith K. 100% 92% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
138 LEE Allison 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
139 UPTON Elizabeth 100% 75% 34% 9% 1% - -
140 DE LA CRUZ Eden 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
140 CHO Taylor S. 100% 98% 78% 38% 9% 1% -
142 DONG Angela 100% 47% 10% 1% - - -
143 BOYD Myrka I. 100% 93% 64% 26% 5% - -
144 LI Sophia M. 100% 88% 51% 15% 2% -
145 DOROSHKEVICH Taisiia 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
146 FUNG Emma 100% 67% 24% 5% - -
147 HO Addison 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
148 NELSON Tanya 100% 97% 74% 38% 11% 2% -
148 LEVY Avery 100% 59% 15% 2% - - -
150 OLIVEIRA Lavinia M. 100% 88% 53% 19% 3% - -
151 SEAL Julie T. 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
152 MCBRYAN Teresa N. 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 8% 1%
153 GARCIA Ivanna C. 100% 47% 9% 1% - - -
154 XIE Suzy 100% 22% 2% - - - -
155 SAIFEE Lamya 100% 85% 46% 13% 2% - -
156 MUSTO Isabella 100% 35% 5% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.