January NAC

Div I Women's Saber

Saturday, January 6, 2024 at 8:00 AM

San Jose McEnery Convention Center - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHAMBERLAIN Maia C. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 65%
2 SHOMAN Jenna 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
3 BURKE Nora S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 85%
3 NAZLYMOV Tatiana F. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 48%
5 KONG Vera 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 38%
6 SKARBONKIEWICZ Magda 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
7 LEE Alexandra B. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35%
8 LU Vivian Y. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 60%
9 WILLIAMS Chloe C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 13%
10 OISHI Megumi 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 33%
11 MELNYCHUK Yelyzaveta 100% 100% 97% 84% 51% 14%
12 TARTAKOVSKY Elizabeth 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75%
12 DELSOIN Chelsea C. 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
14 TONG Kunling 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 12%
15 GREENBAUM Atara R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 49%
16 JUNG Irene 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 5%
17 MIKA Veronica 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 29% 3%
18 POSSICK Lola P. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 28%
19 SULLIVAN Siobhan R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 69%
20 ERIKSON Kira R. 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 6%
21 CHIN Sophia J. 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 21% 3%
22 HAMBAZAZA Liisa 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% < 1% -
23 KIM Zoe 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
24 KRASTEV Minna 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 24% 3%
25 FREEDMAN Janna N. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
26 HILD Nisha 100% 100% 97% 78% 37% 7%
27 MOZHAEVA MARIA 100% 99% 92% 66% 29% 5%
28 PRIEUR Lauren 100% 96% 75% 38% 10% 1% -
29 SAYLES Nina R. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
30 LEE Hannah 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 18% 3%
31 KER Grace 100% 99% 93% 69% 31% 6%
32 YUCEL Emine I. 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
33 FOX-GITOMER Chloe N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
34 CALLAHAN Chase J. 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 7% < 1%
35 STRZALKOWSKI Aleksandra (Ola) M. 100% 100% 100% 97% 78% 34%
36 LIU Sophie 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
37 ANDRES Charmaine G. 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 25% 2%
38 FEARNS Zara A. 100% 100% 96% 79% 46% 15% 2%
39 HWANG Gabriela M. 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 11%
40 CHANG Josephine S. 100% 100% 97% 80% 39% 7%
41 YANG Lea 100% 82% 40% 10% 1% -
42 HUAI Delilah 100% 97% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
43 CHEN Xiaohan 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 32% 3%
44 ENGELMAN-SANZ Madeline A. 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
44 NGUYEN Siena 100% 95% 72% 34% 8% 1% -
46 DUCKETT Madison 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
47 TSE Angelina 100% 99% 91% 64% 26% 4% -
47 SO Catelyn 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
49 TSUI Natalie 100% 98% 86% 55% 21% 4% -
50 BLUM Leah I. 100% 100% 97% 81% 43% 8%
51 WILLIAMS Jadeyn E. 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 39%
52 SHEARER Natalie E. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 27% 2%
53 VADASZ Ibla P. 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 15% 1%
54 GOUHIN Chloe 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 24%
55 GUZMAN Mariana M. 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 23% 3%
56 VESTEL Mira B. 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 26% 3%
56 LAURI Keira 100% 82% 39% 10% 1% - -
56 GAUTAM Sahana 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% - -
59 FESTA Carina 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% -
60 LACSON Sarah 100% 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 2%
61 WU Helen 100% 89% 53% 18% 3% -
62 ZHANG XUANYI 100% 95% 66% 24% 4% -
63 MCKEE Brynnley 100% 99% 87% 57% 22% 4% -
64 KHAN Alissa 100% 98% 87% 58% 22% 4% -
65 SHEALY Maggie 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
66 YANG Angelina LeLe 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 17% 1%
66 DANTULURI Shalini 100% 72% 25% 5% - < 1% -
68 NATH Trisha 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13% 1%
69 ANTHONY Alexia B. 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
70 FANG Victoria W. 100% 92% 63% 27% 7% 1% -
71 PAUL Lila 100% 99% 87% 54% 17% 2%
72 BROWN Emma 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
73 BOIS Adele 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 32% 5%
74 LEE Sophia 100% 100% 95% 77% 41% 10% 1%
75 SCHAIBLE Sofia L. 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% - -
76 CHEN Ashley 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 17% 2%
77 ATTIA Jasmine 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% - -
78 ANDRES Katherine A. 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 38% 6%
79 SHI Julia 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
80 CHIN Erika J. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 11%
81 SHI Cathleen 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 24% 2%
82 GHAYALOD reya 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
83 MILLER Sky 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
84 BUHAY Rachel T. 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1%
85 HU Michelle 100% 66% 24% 4% - -
86 DRAGON Rainer 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 5%
87 MUND Ruth 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
88 CHRISTOTHOULOU Olympia C. 100% 96% 74% 38% 10% 1% -
89 KIM Marley I. 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
90 WANG Elysia 100% 99% 91% 63% 25% 5% -
91 SCHIMINOVICH Sophia I. 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 7% 1%
92 STAPLETON Lindsay K. 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 15% 1%
92 ANDREYEVA Darya 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 24% 2%
94 XI Shining 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 8% 1%
95 SATHYANATH Kailing 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2%
95 LU Elaine 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 8% -
97 MENDIOLA RITCHIE Ingrid 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% -
98 DAI Olivia 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% - -
99 HUANG MADELINE 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% - -
100 MAKLIN Sofia 100% 97% 80% 47% 16% 2% -
101 BEVACQUA Aria F. 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3%
102 JOHNSON Dagny L. 100% 96% 72% 28% 5% -
103 MARTURANO Bridget H. 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
104 HAMMERSTROM Aria 100% 51% 11% 1% - -
105 TONG Jessie 100% 80% 35% 7% 1% -
106 HARRISON Imogen N. 100% 100% 99% 90% 57% 15%
106 MARYASH Samantha 100% 92% 58% 21% 4% -
108 XIKES Katherine E. 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
109 LIU Zhi Jun 100% 80% 41% 12% 2% -
110 LIM Jaslene 100% 98% 83% 47% 15% 2% -
111 FOUR-GARCIA Madison 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 56% 11%
112 GRULICH Rayaana 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
113 OLSEN Natalie J. 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 9%
113 ALFARACHE Gabriella C. 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 5% -
113 BARNOVITZ Maya 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
116 BUHAY Kirsten M. 100% 64% 21% 4% - - -
117 XU Emily T. 100% 85% 48% 16% 2% - -
117 XIAO julie 100% 99% 93% 67% 31% 7% 1%
119 HE Charlotte 100% 99% 88% 58% 23% 4% -
120 COLTER Aurora 100% 92% 61% 25% 6% 1% -
121 ZHANG Chenfei 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% - -
122 ARNECKE Lauren A. 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% - -
123 YAO Rainie 100% 90% 56% 19% 3% - -
124 MANKOVA Varvara 100% 91% 62% 26% 6% 1% -
125 RAMIREZ Mirka A. 100% 84% 43% 12% 2% - -
125 LI Alexis 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% - -
127 LO Chloe 100% 63% 21% 4% - - -
128 MANN Sophia J. 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% - -
129 FEIG Sela 100% 90% 50% 12% 1% -
130 FERNANDEZ Martina 100% 77% 35% 8% 1% -
131 STONE Hava S. 100% 98% 86% 54% 19% 3%
132 LU Amy 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
133 TZOU Alexandra 100% 100% 99% 91% 60% 17%
134 JOHNSON Lydia 100% 99% 93% 71% 35% 9% 1%
135 GORMAN Victoria M. 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 20% 3%
136 JOHNSON Honor 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 61%
137 TUNG Renee 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% - -
138 LIU Sydney 100% 76% 36% 10% 1% - -
139 YU Holly 100% 93% 66% 27% 6% 1% -
139 XIONG Haojiao 100% 95% 74% 38% 12% 2% -
141 SENOGLU Irmak 100% 94% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
142 GUVEN Coco 100% 79% 38% 9% 1% - -
143 LEMUS-IAKOVIDOU ALEXANDRA 100% 78% 37% 9% 1% - -
144 CHAVAN Arya 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% - -
145 HENRY Soraya S. 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% - -
145 CHIANG Melissa 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
147 CARLUCCI Laura A. 100% 83% 44% 12% 2% - -
148 MEDVINSKY Alexandra 100% 71% 25% 5% - - -
149 SOURIMTO Valeria 100% 96% 75% 37% 8% 1%
150 LIGH Erenei J. 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% -
151 TAN Adelyn 100% 63% 18% 2% - -
152 BARBOSA Katia 100% 78% 38% 10% 1% - -
153 GLUCK Myriam 100% 50% 12% 1% - -
153 GEYER Carolina M. 100% 93% 67% 31% 7% 1%
155 WHELAN Brynn M. 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
155 BUSH Bethany 100% 72% 29% 6% 1% - -
155 WANG Gloria Ruoyan 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% - -
158 JEONG Katie 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% 1% -
158 KONDEV Elizabeth 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
160 DEMING Clare L. 100% 97% 79% 44% 14% 2% -
161 DONG Angel 100% 84% 47% 14% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.