January NAC

Junior Women's Foil

Sunday, January 7, 2024 at 8:00 AM

San Jose McEnery Convention Center - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 KONG Chin-Yi 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
2 HAYES Nadia 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 28%
3 LUNG Katerina 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 72%
3 SHEN Lydia 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 76% 29%
5 ZHANG Yunjia 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 80%
6 CAO Arianna L. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 45%
7 SONG Yuqiao Aprille 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 45% 9%
8 CHO Rebecca H. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 12%
9 QIAN Crystal 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 86% 36%
10 LIN Zhi Tong 100% 100% 100% 94% 67% 24% 3%
11 KIM Rachael 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 41%
12 KOENIG Charlotte R. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 54%
13 LESLIE Ryanne T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 58%
14 CONWAY Josephina (JoJo) J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
15 CHUSID Mikayla 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 55%
16 YANG Iris 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 38% 7%
17 KIM Katherine 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 36%
18 LEE Jiahn (Lana) 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 38% 7%
19 SHEN Sophia H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 57%
20 CHEN Allison V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 23%
21 CHEN Jia P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
22 PEVZNER Victoria 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 47%
23 SENIC Adeline 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 47%
24 TAN Kaitlyn N. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 42%
25 JING Emily 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 40%
26 SUN Ruoxi 100% 100% 97% 78% 38% 7%
27 LEE Lavender 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 22%
28 ROZPEDOWSKI Claire 100% 100% 91% 49% 11% -
29 ZHANG Alina C. 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 23%
30 GEBALA Gabrielle Grace A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 28%
31 LIU Joy Zhaoyi 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 17%
32 GRIFFIN Emma G. 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
33 EYER Hailey M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 52%
34 LEUNG Mei Hang (Danise) 100% 100% 99% 85% 46% 9% 1%
35 MI Aileen 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 15% 2%
36 KIM Rachel 100% 98% 85% 52% 16% 2%
37 CHEN Chloe I. 100% 100% 99% 89% 60% 22% 3%
38 NISSINOFF Alexandra 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 49% 5%
39 ZHAO Sophie L. 100% 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 5%
40 SEO IRENE Y. 100% 100% 100% 98% 81% 41% 7%
41 DOROSHKEVICH Taisiia 100% 100% 100% 93% 66% 25% 3%
41 SEIGEL Norah 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 20% 2%
43 SAIFEE Lamya 100% 100% 97% 77% 36% 6% -
44 SHENG Chuxi 100% 100% 96% 73% 33% 7% -
45 FEDELI Caterina S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 44%
46 LUO Ziyue 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 9%
47 LOCKE Savannah 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
48 GOOR Viviene E. 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 47% 10%
49 SUN Chloe 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 13% 1%
50 WANDJI Anais 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 20% 2%
51 SHEN Emilia 100% 100% 97% 83% 48% 14% 1%
52 PALMER Meredith K. 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
53 FUNG Emma 100% 100% 95% 74% 36% 8% 1%
54 OH Ceana 100% 99% 79% 38% 10% 1% -
55 WANG Ellen 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 37%
56 DE LA CRUZ Eden 100% 99% 92% 62% 23% 3%
57 HO Brianna W. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 29%
58 LI Sophia M. 100% 100% 97% 80% 45% 13% 2%
59 WANG Jasmine 100% 97% 72% 32% 7% 1% -
60 HU Felice 100% 97% 71% 24% 3% - -
61 BIODROWICZ Julia 100% 100% 98% 83% 41% 9% 1%
62 TORRES JIMENA 100% 100% 99% 89% 52% 11% 1%
63 MANIKTALA Prisha 100% 100% 99% 92% 63% 19% 1%
64 CHEW Alexis T. 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 26% 4%
65 OUYANG Bridgette Z. 100% 100% 100% 99% 76% 20%
66 RANDOLPH Piper 100% 100% 98% 83% 45% 9%
67 LEE Fiona E. 100% 100% 93% 56% 17% 2% -
68 JANG Kimberley 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 21%
69 CHO Emily (Euran) 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 33% 5%
70 DENG Melissa 100% 100% 94% 66% 23% 3% -
71 KOROL Neta 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 53% 11%
72 SOOD Ishani S. 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 66% 20%
73 NAMGALAURI Mariam 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 27% 3%
74 YANG Audrey 100% 98% 85% 53% 18% 2% -
75 CHO Cameron S. 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 41% 9%
76 MEI Sarah 100% 100% 96% 63% 19% 2% -
77 LUO Sandra J. 100% 100% 99% 87% 46% 5%
78 ORVANANOS Anice 100% 100% 97% 80% 44% 13% 1%
79 HSU Kaylin 100% 100% 97% 77% 34% 5% -
80 MU Allison 100% 100% 93% 65% 24% 3% -
81 DONG Angela 100% 97% 58% 15% 2% - -
82 LEE Allison 100% 99% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
83 GUAN Adeline 100% 84% 44% 12% 2% - -
84 KNIGHT Skylar 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 75% 21%
85 ZHUANG Christina 100% 99% 90% 58% 21% 3% -
86 XIE Suzy 100% 83% 36% 6% - - -
87 MORALES LEDEZMA Georgina Elizabeth 100% 100% 99% 86% 47% 12% 1%
88 LENK Sophie 100% 97% 64% 22% 4% - -
89 DO Leila 100% 99% 90% 60% 23% 4% -
90 QUINN Anna 100% 91% 47% 11% 1% - -
91 SUN Emily 100% 94% 66% 26% 4% -
92 NEWHARD Zelia "Zizi" 100% 100% 100% 91% 36% 4%
93 MARKOVSKY Nina 100% 85% 41% 10% 1% -
93 YAO Ada 100% 95% 70% 32% 7% -
95 PEVZNER Nicole 100% 96% 72% 32% 6% -
96 SUN Chien-Yu 100% 94% 66% 26% 4% -
97 LAI Sophia 100% 98% 80% 40% 10% 1%
98 DANIELYANTS Gabriela 100% 88% 43% 4% - -
99 ZHENG Julie 100% 100% 97% 73% 26% 2%
100 ZHOU Catherine 100% 98% 86% 51% 17% 2% -
101 CHANG Elizabeth 100% 100% 91% 59% 21% 3% -
102 GU Maggie Runlin 100% 100% 98% 82% 47% 13% 1%
103 DU Hannah 100% 100% 96% 72% 32% 6% -
104 HUNG Juliana K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 79% 24%
105 CASTANEDA Keira 100% 100% 97% 76% 37% 8% 1%
106 DAI Zizhuo (Zizi) 100% 100% 94% 68% 30% 6% -
107 REN Kayley 100% 96% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
108 DRAGNE Alexis D. 100% 100% 93% 66% 27% 5% -
108 CHOI Kailyn 100% 98% 68% 20% 3% - -
110 LI Eleanor 100% 100% 98% 81% 41% 10% 1%
111 WYNN Kylie 100% 93% 47% 9% 1% - -
112 YAN Noelle 100% 100% 84% 41% 9% 1% -
113 TAYLOR Gabby 100% 54% 7% - - - -
114 PANT Anisha 100% 100% 96% 76% 39% 10% 1%
114 NAIR Supriya 100% 97% 57% 16% 2% - -
116 WANG Celine S. 100% 97% 52% 12% 1% - -
116 CHEN Renee 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 32% 6%
118 WELBORN Calissa 100% 97% 73% 32% 7% 1% -
119 LUH Mia P. 100% 85% 41% 10% 1% - -
120 OLIVEIRA Lavinia M. 100% 88% 53% 18% 3% -
121 SWANSON Alexa 100% 86% 44% 11% 1% -
122 GARCIA Ivanna C. 100% 59% 14% - - -
123 LIU Eva 100% 92% 29% 4% - -
124 CHATEL Margot 100% 70% 27% 5% - - -
125 HAN Crystal 100% 100% 88% 52% 16% 2% -
126 MORADI Raiyan N. 100% 99% 86% 51% 17% 3% -
127 KOSTELNY Alexis 100% 100% 95% 73% 35% 7% 1%
127 WANG CAROL 100% 100% 91% 58% 19% 2% -
129 YU Jane 100% 54% 13% 1% - -
130 LEVY Avery 100% 66% 23% 4% - -
131 PENG Serena 100% 74% 32% 7% 1% -
132 UPTON Elizabeth 100% 98% 79% 39% 9% 1%
133 PATTERSON Natalia 100% 80% 31% 2% - -
134 BASSIK Eva 100% 100% 84% 43% 10% 1% -
135 CHOW Annabelle 100% 100% 96% 67% 22% 2% -
136 HOBSON Ava 100% 95% 56% 17% 3% - -
136 ZHANG Ivy 100% 94% 64% 20% 3% - -
138 ZHANG Eunice 100% 99% 89% 60% 23% 4% -
138 MORALES Paulina 100% 72% 21% 3% - - -
140 HAN Ashley 100% 94% 66% 27% 5% - -
141 PENG Charlotte 100% 75% 28% 5% - - -
142 SWOPE Farren 100% 57% 12% 1% - - -
143 BOLES Amanda X. 100% 84% 41% 11% 1% - -
144 ZONG Melody 100% 31% 3% - - - -
145 URDANETA LARGURA Sylvia 100% 53% 12% 1% - - -
146 GOEL Riyana 100% 21% 2% - - - -
147 SONG Jenna 100% 82% 23% 3% - - -
148 ZHENG Zoe 100% 62% 17% 2% - - -
149 GUO Audrey 100% 62% 10% 1% - - -
150 CARVAJAL Sofia 100% 58% 15% 2% - -
151 YUEN Elsie 100% 60% 17% 2% - - -
152 LI Siqi 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -
153 CHOI ERIN 100% 15% - - - -
154 CHANG Janelle 100% 14% 1% - - - -
155 KRAATZ Kira 100% 10% - - - - -
156 SONG Erin 100% 32% 4% - - - -
156 TAN Shouyin 100% 30% 2% - - - -
156 SEN Arjen 100% 15% 1% - - - -
159 MOORADIAN Anya 100% 28% 3% - - - -
160 SINGH Sania 100% 12% - - - - -
160 ZHU Yunyao 100% 57% 14% 1% - - -
162 SAUCEDO Fernanda 100% 12% - - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.