January NAC

Junior Men's Saber

Sunday, January 7, 2024 at 12:00 PM

San Jose McEnery Convention Center - San Jose, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CHON Taylor A. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 32%
2 MORRILL William 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
3 BERMAN Luca 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 18%
3 JI Cody Walter 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 56%
5 DODRILL Grant 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 42%
5 HOLZ Daniel 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
7 NAZLYMOV Andrei 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
8 SILBERZWEIG Jordan H. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 53%
9 HUANG Ethan F. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
10 KIM Shaun M. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
11 ZHANG Derek 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
12 BERRIO Carter E. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 22%
13 CHOI Silas 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
14 JOO Jeein 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 16% 2%
15 LIANG Connor 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 45%
16 PRIMUS Nazir 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 18%
17 WU Roger (Mengke) 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
18 LIM William J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 19%
19 WANG Robert 100% 100% 100% 95% 78% 42% 10%
20 JOHNSON Langston C. 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 46% 10%
20 HOLZ William A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 17%
22 LEE Aydan J. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 7%
22 PAN Jerry 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 22%
24 KWALWASSER Eric 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 18%
25 NOBLE Colin 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 12%
26 BAE Jason I. 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
27 QIU Nathan 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
28 DENNER Maximilian P. 100% 100% 100% 94% 70% 30% 4%
29 SU Landon 100% 100% 91% 64% 29% 7% 1%
30 CHOI HYUNSEOK 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 39%
31 SHOMAN Noah 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
32 GLOZMAN Justin 100% 100% 92% 65% 29% 7% 1%
33 GUFFEY Christopher 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 28% 5%
34 WANG Nicolas 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 12%
35 LILOV Neil 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 58%
36 CZYZEWSKI Konrad R. 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 59% 16%
37 PATIL Aaryan A. 100% 100% 96% 76% 40% 11% 1%
38 ZUBATIY Samuel 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 13%
38 KROON Lucas 100% 100% 87% 54% 20% 4% -
40 GONZALEZ Emilio A. 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
41 WANG Charles 100% 100% 97% 77% 38% 9% 1%
42 KOGAN Benjamin 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 65% 19%
43 HJERPE Wade H. 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 40% 10%
44 MICLAUS Justin 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 28%
45 LIN Daniel 100% 100% 95% 77% 42% 12% 1%
46 ZHANG Yupeng 100% 95% 71% 33% 8% 1% -
47 BONIFIELD Arthur G. 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 25% 4%
48 MAKLIN Edward P. 100% 100% 98% 84% 51% 16% 2%
49 CHAN Matthew 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22%
49 WONG Ryan 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 7%
51 OH Triton 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
51 SLASTIN Andrew 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
53 LI Yiwei 100% 98% 82% 46% 15% 2% -
54 MIYASAKI-CASTRO Masanobu 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 18% 3%
55 RAMANAN Govind 100% 98% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
56 LEE Justin 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 40%
57 SO Hananiah 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 80% 36%
58 VAID Luke 100% 99% 87% 55% 21% 4% -
59 ZHANG Jeffrey 100% 99% 90% 63% 28% 6% -
60 JIANG Anthony 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
61 PAN Alex 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 31% 6%
62 LUO George F. 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 17% 2%
63 HUANG Tom 100% 99% 85% 50% 16% 2% -
64 WANG Yiyu Will 100% 92% 59% 21% 4% - -
65 PAN Jack (Yuxiang) 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 42%
65 SHOMAN Zachary 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 64% 18%
67 ZENG Noah 100% 100% 98% 82% 43% 7%
68 XU William 100% 100% 100% 96% 79% 43% 11%
68 TENG MATTHEW 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 4%
70 SOHN Kevin J. 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 56%
71 DEPEW Spencer 100% 100% 95% 73% 34% 8% 1%
72 KOTOV Leonid 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 20% 3%
73 ATANASSOV Vasil V. 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 73% 29%
73 HUANG Alex F. 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 28% 5%
75 MARGULIES William 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 27% 5%
76 DHINGRA Gian K. 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
76 HOUTZ Jackson 100% 100% 98% 85% 49% 10%
78 TANN Justin 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
79 YAO JINCHENG 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 2%
80 YANG Richard 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 25% 3%
81 BULL Anderson 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 4%
81 HU Christopher 100% 100% 90% 60% 25% 5% -
83 POFF Kainoa 100% 97% 76% 37% 9% 1% -
84 SHIRPAL Oleksandr 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
85 KALPATHY Rohit 100% 100% 94% 69% 30% 7% 1%
85 BARRETO Elliott 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 18% 2%
87 MORRILL Justin 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 36% 8%
88 HAN William 100% 100% 96% 74% 35% 8% 1%
89 GAO Albert 100% 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1%
90 HAMMERSTROM Jared 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 72% 28%
90 BROU Inkosi 100% 99% 91% 65% 30% 7% 1%
92 LE Hayden 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 28% 4%
93 WOOD Elden S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 45%
93 CHEONG Heonjae 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 16% 2%
95 ZHAO Lucas 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% -
96 ERMAKOV Semeon 100% 99% 88% 54% 16% 2%
97 ENGEL Peter 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1%
98 BABAYEV Gabriel A. 100% 100% 100% 96% 75% 29%
99 ROBINSON William 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 28% 5%
100 TAO Jeffrey 100% 100% 99% 91% 63% 22% 3%
101 GOLDIN Lucca 100% 99% 69% 27% 6% 1% -
101 MAHAPATRA SAMARTH 100% 99% 74% 34% 8% 1% -
103 CALLAHAN Jaden P. 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 54%
103 STURN Oliver 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4%
105 JEFFORDS Alexander 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
105 PENG Bryan 100% 100% 97% 81% 46% 13% 1%
105 PIWOWAR Alex 100% 99% 88% 52% 17% 2% -
108 GREENBAUM Ian L. 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13% 1%
108 YANG Ziyi 100% 100% 98% 84% 52% 17% 2%
108 TONG ZACHARY 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9%
111 VELAZQUEZ ORTIZ MATIAS 100% 100% 99% 91% 67% 31% 6%
112 PI Alexander 100% 99% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1%
113 LEE Noah 100% 99% 86% 50% 16% 2% -
114 LINDHOLM Oliver S. 100% 100% 98% 89% 62% 26% 4%
115 DENG Andrew 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 32% 6%
116 KANG Evan R. 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 8% 1%
117 TOLEDO Carlos 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% - -
118 REN James 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 27% 5%
118 CHEN Samuel 100% 94% 69% 31% 7% 1% -
120 WANG William 100% 78% 33% 6% - -
121 CHEONG Heonjun 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 31% 6%
122 BYON Adrian 100% 99% 91% 61% 24% 4% -
123 KAKEHI Nicholas B. 100% 99% 84% 49% 17% 3% -
123 TIAGI Daniel 100% 92% 63% 27% 6% 1% -
125 SCHARDINE James 100% 100% 94% 70% 34% 9% 1%
126 LESUEUR Luke J. 100% 98% 81% 43% 11% 1% -
127 OH Aster 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
128 ROSBERG Dashiell W. 100% 98% 82% 42% 10% 1%
129 HONG Steven 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 23% 3%
130 NG Jonathan 100% 100% 91% 62% 27% 6% 1%
131 YAN Kevin 100% 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1%
132 DIACOS Jordan 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 49% 12%
133 TSE Aiden J 100% 99% 83% 44% 11% 1%
134 PASTORE LIU Vince 100% 93% 65% 29% 7% 1%
135 KATZ Ryan 100% 94% 66% 26% 4% -
136 NOBLE Daniel 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 4%
137 FALCON-KORB Mathis 100% 96% 75% 39% 11% 2% -
138 BOSITA Carson 100% 99% 81% 44% 14% 2% -
139 HUBLALL Ethan 100% 90% 59% 23% 5% - -
140 KILARI Krish 100% 100% 93% 70% 33% 8% 1%
141 AKS Ari 100% 99% 91% 62% 26% 5% -
142 KANG Evan 100% 95% 68% 29% 6% - -
143 CRAIG Samuel 100% 100% 90% 61% 25% 5% -
144 STONE Esmond A. 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 12% 1%
144 RAMANAN Jaisimh 100% 99% 85% 50% 18% 3% -
146 DALAL Rohan 100% 100% 93% 69% 32% 8% 1%
147 DUDNICK Christian 100% 97% 70% 31% 8% 1% -
148 GHAYALOD ansh 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 6%
148 WANG Daniel 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 11% 1%
150 FLOT Tai A. 100% 100% 96% 78% 43% 13% 1%
150 EYBELMAN Ariel 100% 85% 47% 14% 2% - -
152 FENG Leo 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 63% 23%
152 BUKOWSKI Broghan J. 100% 95% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
154 YANG Dylan 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
155 MATTOO Surya 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1%
156 BARRIOS Diego 100% 89% 57% 22% 5% -
157 LIU Lawrence 100% 99% 89% 55% 16% 1%
158 MUNGUIA Nathan 100% 94% 71% 35% 10% 1%
159 BYON Julian 100% 98% 83% 51% 17% 2%
160 KIM ELIJAH 100% 99% 89% 57% 18% 2%
161 BHATIA Ekam 100% 67% 22% 3% - -
162 SOWERS Samuel 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% -
163 LIN Steve 100% 84% 47% 15% 2% -
164 KUSHKOV Daniel 100% 100% 95% 74% 39% 11% 1%
164 CHUNG Connor 100% 98% 86% 55% 20% 3% -
166 ANTHONY Devyn V. 100% 100% 94% 72% 36% 9% 1%
166 CHOKSI Vihaan 100% 97% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
168 BONSELL Vance 100% 99% 90% 58% 20% 3% -
168 SHAHZAD Azlan A. 100% 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% -
168 HERRERA aragon 100% 86% 49% 15% 2% - -
171 YAO JINTAO 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 13% 1%
171 HWANG Jayden 100% 99% 85% 52% 19% 4% -
173 CHAVES Matthew J. 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 28% 4%
174 SHANKAR Karthik 100% 87% 48% 14% 2% - -
175 SUBBIAH Prashanth V. 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
176 YAP Kah Kai (Cayden) 100% 97% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
177 VENU Ram 100% 86% 47% 13% 2% - -
178 HO Anson 100% 73% 24% 4% - - -
178 TIAGI George 100% 96% 69% 30% 7% 1% -
180 MATTOO Deven 100% 88% 52% 17% 3% - -
181 CAISSE Simon B. 100% 99% 78% 37% 10% 1% -
182 BULLARD Bennett 100% 80% 36% 8% 1% - -
183 FOX Gavin 100% 89% 54% 19% 4% - -
184 CHABENAT Guillaume 100% 93% 58% 20% 4% - -
185 FIELDS Matthew S. 100% 100% 94% 72% 33% 7% -
186 SHIPITSIN Alexander 100% 89% 55% 19% 3% - -
187 KIM-COGAN Ryan 100% 100% 97% 82% 48% 15% 1%
188 LIM Joshua 100% 88% 51% 15% 2% -
189 NGO Maximus 100% 94% 59% 19% 3% -
190 PATEL Rayn 100% 99% 90% 63% 26% 5% -
191 MAY Griffin M. 100% 100% 86% 50% 17% 3% -
191 KUMAR Sachit 100% 100% 94% 71% 33% 8% 1%
193 HOLZ Lucas 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
194 LIN Philip T. 100% 91% 59% 23% 5% - -
195 ROSS Dash S. 100% 67% 22% 3% - - -
196 ZHAO Zhiyu(Yogi) 100% 96% 73% 34% 8% 1% -
197 CASTRO-SOLIS HUGO ABEL 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 16%
198 PINTO Marcus 100% 98% 79% 41% 12% 2% -
199 ANUMULA Aryan 100% 29% 3% - - - -
200 LICHTERMAN Jakub 100% 30% 4% - - - -
200 XU Justin 100% 56% 12% 1% - - -
200 WONG Lucas 100% 52% 13% 2% - - -
203 WANG Michael 100% 68% 24% 4% - - -
204 WANG William M. 100% 50% 12% 1% - - -
204 ANDRES Michael 100% 98% 84% 51% 19% 3% -
206 RAMTEKKAR Soham 100% 87% 51% 17% 3% - -
207 KIM Theodore 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% - -
208 PERALTA Christian 100% 81% 40% 10% 1% - -
208 WONG David 100% 14% 1% - - - -
210 TUNG Ryan 100% 73% 26% 5% - - -
211 OLARIO Raphael 100% 32% 5% - - - -
212 HU Zhao Xuanyu 100% 98% 84% 52% 18% 3%
213 YERRAMILLI Tejas 100% 90% 58% 23% 4% -
213 CONTRACTOR Cyrus 100% 69% 25% 4% - -
215 ZHU Yuchen (Kevin) 100% 99% 84% 50% 18% 3% -
215 CHUA Jared 100% 27% 3% - - - -
217 WEINBERG Harry 100% 68% 22% 3% - - -
217 VO Landon 100% 37% 6% - - - -
219 WANG Eric Y. 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 35% 6%
219 VENKATRAMAN Sudhir 100% 34% 5% - - - -
221 WITCZAK Mateus 100% 66% 24% 5% - - -
221 CHEN Lohen 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
223 MINASIAN Mason 100% 37% 6% - - -
224 SADHU Neiyam 100% 55% 16% 2% - - -
225 TAN Ryan 100% 30% 4% - - - -
226 LIGH Checed 100% 42% 8% 1% - - -
226 SILVA Joaquin 100% 10% - - - - -
226 VOSPER James 100% 5% - - - - -
229 XU James 100% 11% - - - - -
229 RAY Evan 100% 12% 1% - - - -
231 CHAN Aidan 100% 92% 48% 12% 1% - -
231 CHAN Elliott 100% 14% 1% - - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.