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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

2024 South Coast Mary Rafanelli RYC/RJC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Saturday, January 13, 2024 at 1:30 PM

Pasadena Convention Center - Main Ballroom - Pasadena, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 SUN Chloe - - - - - 4% 96%
2 BAE Yooju - - - - 4% 27% 69%
3 KIM Sydney - - - 3% 24% 72%
3 ZHOU Joi - 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
5 MIYASHIRO Katelyn - - - 5% 26% 47% 22%
6 ZEE Savannah - - 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
7 HAN Gian - - - 3% 18% 43% 36%
8 RUI Jessie - 1% 5% 22% 39% 28% 6%
9 KENSICKI Phoebe - - 1% 8% 27% 42% 22%
10 ZHAO Olivia - 5% 20% 34% 28% 11% 2%
11 LIU Ashley - 2% 12% 31% 35% 16% 3%
12 PARK Lauren - - 2% 11% 34% 40% 13%
13 WANG Yanxuan(Alicia) 1% 12% 31% 35% 18% 4% -
14 WANG Doreen - - 1% 9% 29% 40% 20%
15 SOE Hayleigh - - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14%
16 XU Ella 3% 18% 37% 30% 11% 1% -
17 ZHANG Queeny 2% 12% 31% 36% 17% 1%
18 FANG Kelervia - 3% 15% 33% 34% 14% 1%
19 JEON Joohong - 10% 32% 37% 18% 3% -
20 FAN Sophia 1% 11% 32% 35% 16% 3% -
21 TULYAG Sayda - 1% 8% 28% 41% 22% -
22 XI Sophia 8% 28% 37% 21% 5% -
23 LUCAS Ava 1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7% -
24 ZOU JIAYING 1% 10% 31% 37% 17% 3% -
25 DAI Iris Yuyang - 1% 7% 22% 35% 28% 8%
26 DENG Claire - 2% 12% 28% 34% 20% 4%
27 TANG Amelia - 6% 25% 36% 24% 7% 1%
28 OLSHANSKY Dalia 1% 12% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
29 CHEN Madeleine 1% 15% 36% 34% 13% 2% -
30 LING Camryn 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 5% 1%
31 CHANG Lydia - - 3% 17% 37% 33% 9%
32 SAIFEE Zahra 1% 11% 29% 33% 19% 5% 1%
33 DAM Sofi 5% 26% 38% 23% 6% 1% -
34 HUGHES Olivia - 5% 20% 36% 29% 9% 1%
35 ZHANG Hannah 3% 16% 35% 33% 13% 1%
36 LIM Kensie - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15% 1%
37 SAIFEE Sakina - 3% 15% 32% 32% 15% 3%
38 GOWDA Siyona 47% 39% 12% 2% - - -
39 CHANG Olivia - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10% -
40 YATAVELLI Aria 79% 19% 2% - - - -
41 LIU Celia 30% 42% 22% 5% 1% - -
42 LIM Kora 5% 23% 37% 26% 7% -
43 CHEN Summer 46% 39% 13% 2% - - -
44 DESAI Zoya 1% 21% 42% 28% 7% 1% -
45 TU Averie 20% 41% 28% 9% 1% - -
46 SHEN Gloria 3% 24% 39% 25% 8% 1% -
47 BHANGOO Paloma 64% 31% 5% - - - -
48 NAVARRO LeighAnn 25% 44% 25% 6% 1% - -
49 CHUN Ami 19% 39% 30% 10% 1% -
50 WANG Gabrielle < 1% 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
51 KALENTS Sienna < 1% 4% 20% 38% 28% 8% 1%
51 CHAMOUN Audrey 11% 36% 35% 15% 3% - -
53 SANTIAGO Rania 25% 45% 24% 5% 1% - -
54 YUNG Zoe 21% 42% 28% 8% 1% - -
55 SHIH Bailey 3% 20% 36% 28% 11% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.