The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Take Action

SAS Saber D & Under

Div III Mixed Saber

Saturday, January 13, 2024 at 1:30 PM

Salle Auriol Seattle - Seattle, WA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 GOLDIN Nina - - - 5% 25% 44% 25%
2 ASHTIANI Shaya 1% 5% 18% 32% 30% 13% 2%
3 MARENTES Blanca E. 1% 9% 31% 38% 18% 3%
3 ABRAHAMS Tameem - 6% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
5 JAKSTAS Kalnius - - - 2% 13% 39% 46%
6 NADEL Joshua - - - 2% 11% 38% 49%
7 MOODY Paul J. - - 2% 12% 34% 38% 13%
8 ZUG Kiersten A. - 1% 8% 27% 39% 21% 2%
9 HONG Hunter 3% 20% 39% 29% 8% 1%
10 HOLMES Sabrina - 3% 15% 35% 33% 12% 1%
11 PEI Anthony - - 4% 18% 36% 32% 10%
12 LOPER Alex - 2% 14% 34% 37% 13%
13 NAIR Supriya - 5% 20% 37% 29% 8% 1%
14 NEARMAN Christopher 1% 11% 28% 34% 20% 5% -
15 RAMAN Indira 10% 29% 34% 20% 6% 1% -
16 MA Yanjie - 1% 6% 25% 43% 26%
17 VALENTINE Rhys 39% 42% 16% 3% - - -
18 DEGEN Anita L. 7% 28% 38% 21% 5% 1% -
18 HOGUE Spencer 6% 28% 40% 21% 4% - -
20 WHITE Bob 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% - -
21 WEST Mia 5% 25% 41% 23% 5% 1% -
22 WONG Alice 10% 32% 36% 18% 4% -
23 PENG Gregory 1% 9% 25% 34% 23% 8% 1%
24 HOGUE Dillon 29% 46% 21% 3% - -
25 BRUCE Anthony 6% 26% 39% 23% 5% - -
26 CHAUDHURI Urvashi 13% 34% 34% 15% 3% - -
27 OTTERSTROM Bjorn 1% 16% 37% 32% 13% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.