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(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-10 Men's Saber

Saturday, January 13, 2024 at 12:30 PM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YUEN Caleb - - 2% 12% 39% 37% 9%
2 YU Ian - - 2% 12% 35% 43% 8%
3 LEVY Daniel - 3% 16% 34% 34% 12%
3 ISAYENKO Daniel - - 1% 8% 29% 43% 18%
5 KAUL Ishaan - - 4% 15% 33% 35% 14%
6 FU BRANDEN - 2% 11% 30% 37% 18% 2%
7 CAO HAOTIAN 1% 7% 22% 33% 25% 10% 1%
8 NARAYAN Rishi 1% 10% 27% 35% 21% 6% -
9 LU Simon - 5% 20% 37% 29% 8%
10 LIM JUWANA Maximilian - 1% 10% 35% 46% 9%
11 SHAPIRO Leo - 1% 7% 21% 34% 27% 9%
12 LIU Jeremy - - - - 2% 22% 76%
13 RINALDI Benigno - 6% 26% 40% 23% 4% -
14 ZHANG Howard 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 2%
15 LAI Mars 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 3%
16 YI Andrew - 1% 5% 22% 41% 28% 2%
17 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW - 8% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
18 ZHANG Caleb 1% 7% 24% 37% 25% 6%
19 MOELLER Felix - 1% 7% 22% 34% 27% 8%
20 YANG Aegon 4% 17% 32% 29% 14% 3% -
21 WANG Harrison 5% 23% 35% 26% 9% 2% -
22 PARK Sean - 3% 15% 32% 33% 15% 2%
23 BURCH III Andrew - 2% 14% 33% 36% 14%
24 ZHAO Alexander 2% 12% 28% 33% 19% 5% -
25 STYS Owen - 4% 17% 35% 32% 11% 1%
26 IP Hunter - - 2% 10% 28% 39% 20%
27 TABANCAY Cole 1% 13% 33% 34% 16% 3% -
28 GONG Johnny 20% 41% 29% 9% 1% - -
29 SABINO Bennett 2% 19% 37% 30% 11% 1% -
30 LIU Caleb 2% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
31 HAGN Maximilian - 3% 13% 29% 34% 18% 3%
32 BROOKS Grant 17% 39% 32% 11% 2% - -
33 LIU Qunyi - - - 2% 16% 45% 37%
34 JI Derek 5% 24% 38% 25% 7% 1%
35 曾 ZIMO - - 5% 22% 40% 28% 5%
36 HE Richard - 2% 11% 27% 34% 21% 5%
37 LIU Dylan 10% 30% 34% 19% 6% 1% -
38 ZHANG Weihang - 5% 21% 35% 28% 9% 1%
39 TERENTIEV Michael - 5% 21% 38% 28% 8% -
40 KELLY Collin 3% 15% 31% 31% 16% 4% -
41 SHARMA Ayaan - 5% 22% 39% 28% 6%
42 MOGUNOV Alan 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% 1%
43 MAUREL Louis 3% 19% 38% 30% 8% 1% -
44 HAHN EVER - - 2% 11% 35% 39% 13%
45 ARTETA-CHEVALIER Ulysse 18% 38% 30% 12% 2% - -
46 PERKINS, JR LeVar - 4% 16% 30% 30% 16% 3%
47 FAZELINIA Erfaan - - - 1% 7% 34% 58%
48 PARK Layne 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
49 SUN Leonard - 1% 4% 16% 33% 33% 13%
50 SUH Jordan 1% 8% 26% 36% 23% 6% -
51 HU Simon 2% 13% 31% 33% 17% 4% -
52 FAVO Christopher 5% 26% 39% 24% 6% -
53 LEE Aiden 39% 43% 16% 2% - -
54 KATZ Isaac 43% 40% 15% 3% - -
55 NORTON Hudson 12% 36% 35% 14% 3% - -
56 CHUNG Evan 8% 27% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
57 CARD Ewan 8% 26% 34% 22% 8% 1% -
58 LAN Jasper 4% 21% 36% 28% 10% 1% -
59 SHARMA KRISH - - 1% 7% 26% 42% 24%
60 LANKA Gautham 1% 12% 33% 37% 16% 1%
61 LI Jayden 5% 24% 40% 25% 6% - -
62 SAFAI Bardia 24% 41% 26% 8% 1% -
63 FERNAINE Thomas 37% 42% 17% 3% - - -
64 HAMM Bennett < 1% - 3% 14% 32% 35% 15%
65 LI Derek - 1% 7% 24% 37% 26% 5%
66 TIAN Alex 1% 6% 22% 36% 28% 8%
67 MIKHAILOV Andrei - - < 1% 2% 17% 45% 35%
68 BADMUS David 5% 29% 40% 21% 4% - -
69 SOMOV Maxim 14% 36% 33% 14% 3% -
70 LI Nathan - 1% 13% 47% 33% 6%
71 MARLOW Lucian - 7% 28% 40% 22% 3%
72 TAK Sion 52% 36% 10% 1% - - -
73 PEARL Gavin 18% 37% 30% 12% 2% - -
74 PARRISH Lucien 5% 21% 33% 26% 11% 2% -
75 JOHNSON Leyton 7% 24% 34% 24% 9% 2% -
76 STOKELY Samuel 1% 9% 33% 38% 17% 2%
77 WANG Russell 1% 6% 22% 35% 26% 8% 1%
77 SHEK-WEI Wesley 56% 35% 8% 1% - - -
79 WANG Ambrose 1% 7% 24% 36% 25% 7% 1%
80 WANG Adam 22% 43% 27% 7% 1% - -
81 TAK Kion 17% 41% 31% 10% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.