Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-10 Women's Foil

Saturday, January 13, 2024 at 1:00 PM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 MCSHERRY Kayla 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 40%
2 JOO Sara 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 22%
3 SHAOOLIAN Alexa 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 22% 4%
3 KOU Elisha 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 10%
5 ZHILKOV Anya 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 36%
6 ZHANG Priscilla 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 34%
7 CHEN Aimee 100% 95% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
8 YANG Olivia 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
9 KENNEDY Izadora 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 14%
10 ENRIQUEZ Bianca Perla 100% 100% 97% 84% 54% 22% 4%
11 MALIK Manha 100% 100% 99% 94% 77% 44% 13%
12 FRASER Morgan 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 35%
13 HEMPHILL Mia 100% 98% 83% 50% 16% 2%
14 MURPHY Genevieve 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 9%
15 HU Sophie 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
16 JAZWINSKI Ivy 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 4%
17 TELEB Farida 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 12%
18 JU Victoria 100% 97% 81% 48% 17% 3% -
19 BYK Karalina 100% 100% 99% 91% 62% 19%
20 MA Sophia 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 10% 1%
21 JIANG Ziqing 100% 98% 86% 58% 26% 6% 1%
21 XU Selina (Tai Ran) 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 13% 2%
23 XU Charlene 100% 100% 95% 78% 46% 16% 2%
24 LIANG Jasmine 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
25 HO Peyton 100% 92% 64% 29% 7% 1%
26 ELNAGGAR lea 100% 98% 85% 55% 22% 5% -
27 LI Emma Jing 100% 99% 91% 65% 31% 8% 1%
28 MA'AT Isi 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 6%
29 WANG Allyson 100% 98% 88% 63% 31% 9% 1%
30 ZHANG Selina 100% 80% 40% 12% 2% -
31 XING Melly 100% 99% 93% 72% 40% 13% 2%
32 SHTEPA Sofia 100% 95% 71% 36% 11% 2% -
33 LIU Anya 100% 98% 84% 48% 12% -
34 PAEK Ellie 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% - -
35 VO Evelyn 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 3%
36 ZHENG Annalyn 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 24% 4%
37 LIU Sophia 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 22% 4%
38 LONG Rose 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 38% 8%
39 KHETPAL Aalia 100% 100% 99% 90% 66% 31% 7%
40 PARK Hannah 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5%
41 ZHU Alivia 100% 100% 96% 80% 45% 12%
42 KASHUBA Mila 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% -
43 CULLIVAN Elise 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
44 LI Doreen 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
45 BAX Mila 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
46 WANG Christina 100% 89% 57% 21% 4% - -
47 YUE Alice 100% 76% 35% 8% 1% -
48 GOMEZ Amelia 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1%
49 ELLISON Ingrid 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 39% 10%
50 CHANG Eleanor 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -
51 REILLY Carys 100% 99% 94% 74% 40% 12% 1%
52 HUANG Gabrielle 100% 86% 50% 18% 4% - -
53 FANG Savannah 100% 94% 64% 26% 5% - -
54 LI Beatrice 100% 94% 70% 32% 7% 1%
55 PAK Emmalyn 100% 81% 39% 10% 1% -
56 WANG Sally 100% 97% 82% 48% 16% 2%
57 WANG Kelly 100% 85% 49% 15% 2% -
58 ZHENG Skyler 100% 90% 59% 22% 4% -
59 KIRBY Emelie 100% 97% 81% 51% 21% 5% -
60 FENG Claire 100% 99% 92% 68% 34% 10% 1%
61 WU Karina 100% 83% 47% 16% 3% - -
62 LE Minnie 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
63 CAPPIELLO Francesca 100% 61% 20% 4% - - -
64 KIM Rylie 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% -
65 MA Laurie 100% 100% 97% 79% 44% 12% 1%
66 HUANG Emma 100% 90% 60% 25% 6% 1% -
67 HO Avery 100% 99% 82% 41% 9% 1%
68 SOMAN Nabha 100% 82% 46% 16% 3% - -
69 WU Caroline 100% 77% 34% 8% 1% - -
70 MILLER Sydney 100% 88% 57% 24% 6% 1% -
71 SHEBL Laila 100% 100% 98% 80% 33% 5%
72 CAMELLINI Emily 100% 100% 91% 61% 24% 5% -
73 LI Katelyn 100% 100% 90% 61% 26% 6% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.