Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-12 Women's Saber

Saturday, January 13, 2024 at 3:30 PM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 LEOU Korina 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 71%
2 JIANG Evelyn 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 42%
3 MEYERSON Michelle 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 17%
3 CONG Anne 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 32%
5 ZHU Avril 100% 100% 100% 97% 84% 52% 16%
6 KU Alathea-Joy 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 26%
7 HU Heidi 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 33% 6%
8 SUNG Olivia 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 14%
9 WANG JiaQi 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 68% 27%
10 NANDA Maanika 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
11 GONZALEZ Veronika 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
12 FAN Alexandria 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 47% 13%
13 YAN Angela 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 27% 4%
14 CASTELO Soleil 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 15%
15 YU Stella 100% 100% 99% 89% 63% 27% 5%
16 ZHU Elaine 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 73% 30%
17 XU Elaine 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
18 KIM Grace 100% 100% 95% 76% 41% 12% 1%
19 YE Isabella 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 52% 15%
20 NIU Jessica 100% 100% 100% 95% 74% 33% 3%
21 YU Skylar 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 21%
22 NEMORIN Rei 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 53% 14%
23 HILD Anya 100% 100% 96% 80% 49% 18% 3%
24 DHAR Rana 100% 100% 99% 86% 49% 14% 1%
25 CHOI Charlotte 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 18%
26 GONG Joy 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 18%
27 LEE Kaitlin 100% 100% 97% 83% 52% 19% 3%
28 FUNG Iris 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 70% 29%
29 CHERON Helene 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 5%
30 YUEN Nicole 100% 100% 100% 98% 90% 64% 24%
31 YOUNG Sienna 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
32 LONG Jessie 100% 100% 98% 89% 63% 29% 6%
33 ZHANG Ashley 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 34%
34 PARK Haylie 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 19% 3%
35 PATEL Maia 100% 100% 98% 85% 51% 16% 2%
35 REN Katherine 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
37 KAUL Tara 100% 100% 98% 89% 64% 29% 6%
38 LIU Chelsea 100% 97% 78% 43% 13% 2% -
39 LONG Chloe 100% 100% 100% 97% 77% 35% 4%
40 MUTHAPPAN Sahana 100% 100% 97% 83% 54% 21% 3%
41 CHOWDHERY Myra 100% 100% 99% 89% 58% 19% 1%
42 ESTEVES ZOE 100% 97% 79% 45% 15% 3% -
43 LIANG Claire 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 38% 6%
43 HARRIS Maya Hué 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
45 TA-ZHOU Sophia 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 16% 2%
46 PEREIRA Izumi 100% 98% 84% 53% 20% 3% -
47 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 26% 4%
48 HUANG Pierra 100% 92% 65% 30% 8% 1% -
49 LAI Karen 100% 94% 70% 33% 9% 1% -
50 BALLOU-AARES Kaia 100% 98% 79% 36% 7% 1% -
51 KWON Ava 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 33%
52 GALLAGHER Isabella 100% 96% 77% 43% 15% 3% -
53 WANG Emily 100% 100% 97% 82% 47% 14% 2%
54 LI Tiffany 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 6%
55 ELLINGWOOD Sophia 100% 98% 84% 54% 21% 4% -
56 WANG MONA 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 3% -
57 SEO Kaitlyn 100% 99% 93% 72% 39% 12% 2%
58 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous 100% 95% 72% 37% 11% 2% -
59 ZONG Eliane 100% 97% 80% 47% 17% 3% -
60 ZHANG Audrey 100% 99% 88% 61% 27% 6% 1%
61 YANG Felicia 100% 94% 70% 36% 12% 2% -
62 IORDANOVA Vela 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 20% 2%
63 WEI Levana 100% 99% 89% 62% 27% 5% -
64 KANIA Brigitte 100% 99% 90% 61% 26% 5% -
65 VUDTHITHAMRONG Vivienne 100% 99% 91% 63% 28% 7% 1%
66 PINES Kinsey 100% 96% 65% 23% 4% - -
67 CLAIANU Adriana 100% 77% 33% 7% 1% - -
68 POWERS Waverly 100% 99% 88% 59% 24% 5% -
69 MAJEWSKA Maria 100% 98% 87% 59% 26% 6% 1%
70 SAGER Bianca 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
71 RUSMEVICHIENTONG Lyla 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 6%
72 WANG Keira 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
73 JOHN Sophia 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1% -
74 FANG Elena 100% 79% 40% 11% 2% - -
75 BANDHU Saahiti 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 8% 1%
76 CHACKO Anne 100% 90% 59% 24% 5% 1% -
77 ARGUELLO Camilla 100% 100% 98% 82% 45% 11% 1%
78 HEATH Isabella 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
79 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 100% 84% 46% 14% 2% - -
80 WANG Selina 100% 94% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
81 ZHANG Shihan 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 7% 1%
82 LEE Elise 100% 82% 44% 14% 3% - -
83 FASSNACHT Jacqueline 100% 68% 26% 5% 1% - -
84 CHEN Chloe 100% 86% 51% 18% 4% - -
85 TSIPORUKHA Arie 100% 91% 59% 21% 4% - -
86 LAU Angela 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
87 WANG Chloe 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
88 BAO Amelia 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
89 JOSEPH Azalée 100% 99% 94% 72% 37% 10% 1%
90 YAP Anna 100% 97% 67% 21% 3% - -
91 PARAISO Isabella 100% 68% 24% 4% - - -
92 ALMEDA Galina 100% 99% 91% 66% 30% 7% 1%
92 MCCABE Ashley 100% 93% 63% 26% 6% 1% -
94 CONG Catherine 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
95 SHRESTHA Arya 100% 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1%
96 LIAO Amber 100% 69% 27% 6% 1% - -
97 ZHAO Selena 100% 82% 40% 11% 2% - -
98 AHLUWALIA Vera 100% 87% 44% 11% 1% - -
99 BENNETT Eloise 100% 74% 34% 9% 1% - -
99 ZHANG Nikki 100% 99% 91% 66% 33% 9% 1%
101 MALUKI Nia 100% 96% 76% 42% 14% 2% -
102 ZIMBRICK-ROGERS Louisa F. 100% 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 3%
103 GU Allison 100% 98% 82% 48% 17% 3% -
104 KARAVAS Lucy 100% 96% 66% 28% 7% 1% -
105 LIU Adelina 100% 43% 7% - - - -
105 PIÑOL Annika 100% 98% 80% 42% 12% 2% -
107 LVOFF Penelope 100% 97% 80% 45% 14% 2% -
107 SON Ellie 100% 34% 5% - - - -
109 TABANCAY Ava 100% 81% 40% 11% 1% - -
110 SMITH Genevieve 100% 55% 15% 2% - - -
110 DIBADJ Ava 100% 34% 5% - - - -
112 JONES Lauren 100% 98% 81% 45% 14% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.