The future of US Fencing is at stake!

For transparency, fairness, and athlete support, VOTE NOW for:
(1) Maria Panyi, (2) Andrey Geva, (3) Igor Chirashnya, and (4) Sue Moheb.

Treasure Chest RYC

Y-12 Women's Épée

Sunday, January 14, 2024 at 2:00 PM

Treasure Island YMCA - San Francisco, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
1 XU Serena - - - - 3% 15% 40% 42%
2 HANKINS Morgan - - - 2% 15% 43% 39%
3 ZHAO Ellie - 3% 14% 29% 32% 18% 4%
3 DYMAR Anna - - 3% 13% 31% 36% 17%
5 GIERAT-KATZ Izabella - 2% 11% 26% 33% 21% 6% -
6 ARULKUMAR Lashia - 1% 5% 19% 35% 31% 9%
7 MIYOSHI Kylie 1% 7% 23% 34% 25% 9% 1%
8 ZHAO Emma - - 3% 12% 28% 35% 20% 3%
9 WANG Nicole - 2% 12% 28% 33% 20% 5%
10 DENEALE Lucia 4% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
11 CHI Zoe - - 2% 9% 27% 40% 23%
12 VOORHIES Vivienne 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
13 CHEN Julia Z. - 4% 15% 30% 31% 16% 4% -
14 BUDMAN Ava 3% 16% 34% 32% 13% 2% -
15 CHO Jacey 15% 35% 32% 14% 3% - -
16 REN Ivanka 8% 27% 34% 22% 8% 1% - -
17 SINGLETARY Iona 1% 7% 22% 33% 26% 10% 1%
18 RASHID Summer 1% 8% 26% 36% 22% 6% 1%
19 SUNG Audrey - 3% 13% 29% 34% 18% 3%
20 YANG Emma 11% 31% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
21 AGARWAL Keya 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
22 DEARBORN Josie - < 1% 2% 14% 36% 36% 12%
23 XIE ANDREA 23% 41% 27% 8% 1% - -
24 BATRA Meera 9% 28% 35% 21% 6% 1% -
25 FENG Scarlett 1% 14% 35% 34% 14% 2% -
26 ZU Jacqueline 15% 35% 32% 15% 4% - - -
27 CHANG Allison 2% 13% 29% 32% 18% 6% 1% -
28 KAYMAN June - 4% 15% 29% 30% 17% 5% -
29 YU Jiaming 2% 11% 28% 33% 20% 6% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.