Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-14 Women's Saber

Sunday, January 14, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 PANTALEON-MAZOLA Amari 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 54% 16%
2 MALEK Zolie 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 76% 35%
3 BERMAN greta 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 35%
3 GUGALA Hanna 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 31%
5 JIANG Evelyn 100% 100% 100% 99% 88% 56% 16%
6 LIU Hannah 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 67% 24%
7 LI Sonia 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 22% 4%
8 FAVO Isabella 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 76%
9 FERNANDEZ Martina 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 58%
9 ZENG Sarah 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 59%
11 DANTULURI Shalini 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 52%
12 DHAR Layla 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 27%
12 HSU Leah 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
14 CHIANG Melissa 100% 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 28%
15 VINOKUR Anita 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 40% 10%
16 MYAT Chloe 100% 100% 99% 94% 75% 38% 8%
17 MERCHANT Aishwarya 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 61% 18%
18 CHAVAN Arya 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 21%
19 KURAEVA Vasilisa 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 93% 60%
20 BUSH Bethany 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 25% 4%
20 SUNG Olivia 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 19% 1%
22 KWON Ava 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 51% 10%
23 YUEN Nicole 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 3%
24 HU Anna 100% 100% 100% 99% 95% 71% 26%
25 MCAFEE Jada 100% 100% 100% 94% 72% 34% 7%
26 REN Katherine 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 16% 1%
27 RANDALL-COLLINS Shea M. 100% 100% 96% 74% 32% 5%
28 WEI JoyAnn 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
29 HAMMERSTROM Aria 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 16%
30 STADNIK Emilia 100% 100% 94% 74% 39% 11% 1%
31 KWON Ava 100% 99% 88% 55% 19% 3% -
32 MACKAY Katherine 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 6% -
33 DAMBAL Sasha 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 22%
33 ZHANG Ashley 100% 99% 93% 74% 40% 12% 1%
35 LEOU Korina 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 82% 41%
35 FUNG Iris 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 29% 5%
37 WANG Callie 100% 100% 99% 90% 62% 22%
38 LOO Kaitlyn 100% 100% 100% 98% 83% 41%
39 FAN Alexandria 100% 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 5%
40 LONG Jessie 100% 99% 94% 76% 43% 14% 1%
41 SHEN Emily 100% 98% 83% 49% 17% 3% -
42 GONG Joy 100% 100% 98% 88% 60% 25% 4%
43 CHANG Norah 100% 98% 86% 53% 19% 3% -
44 TA-ZHOU Emma 100% 100% 100% 98% 84% 49% 13%
45 LEE Alyson 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 4%
46 YU Stella 100% 99% 85% 43% 10% 1%
47 CONG Anne 100% 99% 94% 73% 36% 8%
48 GONZALEZ Veronika 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 29% 5%
49 MARAGH Farrah E. 100% 99% 93% 73% 40% 12% 1%
49 ZHU Elaine 100% 100% 97% 83% 49% 16% 2%
49 HEATH Isabella 100% 87% 54% 21% 5% 1% -
52 YAN Angela 100% 100% 95% 73% 36% 9% 1%
53 NIU Jessica 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
54 BIBLER Anna 100% 99% 85% 52% 18% 3% -
55 CASTELO Soleil 100% 98% 86% 56% 23% 5% -
56 KIM Audrey 100% 99% 90% 67% 33% 9% 1%
57 KU Alathea-Joy 100% 100% 98% 85% 53% 17% 2%
58 CHOI Charlotte 100% 100% 93% 67% 30% 7% 1%
59 WONG Charlene 100% 94% 70% 35% 11% 2% -
60 CROOKS Riley 100% 100% 99% 88% 52% 12%
61 BLAKE Anna 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 39% 8%
61 ZHU Avril 100% 100% 100% 95% 75% 36% 6%
63 MAO Elsa 100% 94% 68% 31% 7% 1% -
64 SEBASTIAN Ava 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8% 1%
65 BORGUETA Madison 100% 100% 99% 92% 65% 26% 4%
66 MERMEGAS Olivia 100% 100% 97% 81% 47% 13% 1%
67 NADKARNI Marisa 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 13% 2%
68 SHMULER Fiona 100% 99% 92% 67% 32% 8% 1%
69 WANG JiaQi 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 36% 7%
70 GUHA Surabhi 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 3% -
71 MEYERSON Michelle 100% 97% 80% 46% 14% 2%
72 DHAR Rana 100% 100% 98% 87% 54% 18% 2%
72 SEVASTOPULO Sahra 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2% -
74 KIM Grace 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 4% -
75 LEE Kaitlin 100% 99% 93% 67% 28% 5% -
76 FABRICANT Kioka R. 100% 100% 94% 72% 35% 9% 1%
77 AWAD Royce 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 41% 10%
78 YU Skylar 100% 99% 88% 57% 22% 4% -
79 YE Isabella 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 3%
80 HUANG Neila 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 8% 1%
80 CHERON Helene 100% 98% 85% 57% 24% 5% -
82 HU Heidi 100% 99% 90% 62% 27% 6% 1%
83 PALMIERI Giuliana M. 100% 99% 88% 57% 21% 4% -
84 SEO Kaitlyn 100% 97% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
85 LAI Karen 100% 90% 43% 9% 1% -
86 WANG Keira 100% 76% 29% 5% - - -
87 CHOWDHERY Myra 100% 97% 77% 40% 11% 1% -
88 LIU Chelsea 100% 95% 62% 21% 3% - -
89 FLEEGER Sophia 100% 71% 30% 7% 1% - -
90 OSMINKINA-JONES Kai 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
91 ALMEDA Galina 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
92 ZHAO Selena 100% 56% 13% 1% - - -
93 NAKATA Gwyneth 100% 75% 31% 6% 1% - -
94 MCCARTHY Nora Louisa Abrous 100% 82% 44% 14% 2% - -
95 LI Tiffany 100% 100% 93% 66% 28% 6% -
96 PITRUN Viktorie 100% 89% 56% 21% 4% - -
97 VISWANATHAN Nishka 100% 72% 30% 7% 1% -
98 IANNUZZI Lucy 100% 92% 63% 26% 6% 1%
99 GENTILE Vittoria 100% 98% 86% 58% 25% 6% 1%
100 ELLINGWOOD Sophia 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
101 KIM Grace 100% 90% 48% 13% 2% - -
102 PARK Haylie 100% 99% 88% 55% 20% 3% -
103 MAO anna 100% 93% 66% 30% 8% 1% -
104 XU Elaine 100% 99% 89% 56% 20% 3% -
105 ZONG Eliane 100% 95% 70% 33% 8% 1% -
106 PARKER Mrinali 100% 43% 8% 1% - - -
107 WANG Emily 100% 97% 80% 46% 15% 2% -
107 WANG MONA 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
109 HILD Anya 100% 96% 74% 38% 12% 2% -
110 LAFFY Lily 100% 96% 72% 34% 9% 1% -
110 FANG Elena 100% 29% 3% - - - -
112 TA-ZHOU Sophia 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
112 WILFRET Katerina 100% 80% 33% 7% 1% - -
114 WANG Selina 100% 53% 14% 2% - - -
115 HUANG Pierra 100% 73% 31% 7% 1% - -
116 YE Madeleine 100% 95% 70% 32% 7% 1% -
117 CONVERSO-PARSONS Maia 100% 47% 11% 1% - - -
118 MUTHAPPAN Sahana 100% 96% 77% 44% 15% 3% -
119 ZHANG Allison 100% 98% 82% 46% 14% 2% -
120 LIANG Claire 100% 94% 68% 32% 9% 1% -
121 LIAO Amber 100% 74% 29% 6% 1% - -
122 SMITH Genevieve 100% 35% 5% - - - -
123 ENG Madeleine 100% 87% 51% 18% 3% - -
124 HO Sophia 100% 90% 62% 28% 7% 1% -
125 FANG Darcy 100% 34% 4% - - -
126 GALLAGHER Isabella 100% 96% 67% 24% 4% - -
127 MANSPERGER Gia 100% 95% 73% 39% 12% 2% -
128 BARNES Sarah 100% 89% 59% 25% 6% 1% -
129 STEVENS Sabine 100% 96% 77% 41% 12% 1% -
130 CLAIANU Adriana 100% 69% 26% 5% - - -
131 IORDANOVA Vela 100% 74% 31% 7% 1% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.