Treasure Chest RYC

Y-12 Women's Foil

Monday, January 15, 2024 at 1:00 PM

Treasure Island YMCA - San Francisco, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHANG Gwenyth - - - 3% 25% 60% 12%
2 HSU Emily - - - 3% 19% 51% 26%
3 THERON Zoe - - 1% 5% 21% 43% 30%
3 LIU Ariana - - 3% 12% 30% 37% 19%
5 MA Isabelle - - 1% 10% 31% 41% 17%
6 YU Sophie - - 1% 6% 22% 42% 29%
7 SAH Madeleine - - 4% 19% 43% 34%
8 LUO Miranda - - - 1% 11% 43% 44%
9 NEUMANN Erika - - 2% 13% 36% 40% 9%
10 CHO Karis - - 3% 15% 33% 35% 13%
11 XIA Isabella - 3% 16% 39% 36% 6%
12 HOM Avery - - 2% 12% 31% 39% 15%
13 MIYOSHI Kylie - 1% 6% 22% 37% 27% 7%
14 CHAN Ella - - 3% 17% 41% 34% 4%
15 HSIAO Ariya 3% 16% 36% 33% 11% 1%
16 LI Sophia - - - 4% 21% 44% 31%
17 HSU Rachel - 1% 6% 21% 35% 28% 8%
18 ARYA Leela 1% 7% 25% 39% 24% 5%
19 LEE Abigail - - 3% 14% 33% 35% 14%
20 THOTA Akira - 1% 6% 21% 37% 28% 7%
21 SHEN Gloria 2% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2% -
22 AHN Hayley 4% 20% 35% 28% 11% 2% -
23 HOM Emma 5% 22% 35% 27% 10% 2% -
24 CHAN Mila - - - 4% 28% 67%
25 HO Chloe 13% 35% 34% 15% 3% - -
26 JOESUF Thea 1% 8% 27% 37% 22% 5% -
27 LI Audrey 3% 22% 37% 27% 9% 1% -
28 YU-TAN Claire 10% 33% 37% 17% 3% -
29 CHEN Elysia 7% 26% 36% 23% 7% 1% -
30 MCLANAHAN Jasmine 2% 14% 33% 34% 15% 2% -
31 ZALTZMAN Maya 1% 7% 22% 35% 27% 9% 1%
32 TEWARI Amaira 2% 15% 33% 33% 14% 2% -
33 ZHAN Catherine 2% 12% 32% 35% 16% 3% -
34 DVOIRIS Maya 1% 5% 19% 33% 28% 11% 2%
35 TANG Amelia - 7% 26% 38% 23% 5% -
36 LIN Avery 2% 14% 31% 32% 16% 4% -
37 KO Adeline 1% 6% 23% 38% 26% 6% -
38 YANG Byanca 14% 41% 33% 10% 1% -
39 JEANSON Sierra 3% 19% 35% 29% 12% 2% -
40 TIAN Claire 4% 25% 42% 23% 5% - -
41 CHU Lauren - - 2% 11% 30% 38% 19%
42 MAHAPATRA Alisha 1% 8% 24% 34% 24% 8% 1%
43 ZHANG Elizabeth - 3% 15% 37% 35% 10%
44 JOESUF Aurielle 2% 14% 32% 33% 16% 4% -
45 WANG Ellen 11% 32% 34% 18% 5% 1% -
46 KIM Audrey - 1% 7% 23% 36% 26% 7%
47 WARBURTON Eleanor 17% 38% 32% 11% 2% - -
48 STERNAD Pia 9% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
49 KHAIRUL ANWAR Rania Yasmin 6% 23% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
50 CHENG Audrey 9% 31% 38% 19% 3% -
51 LEE Adelaide 7% 28% 39% 21% 5% -
52 ARUNKISHORE Dakshina 1% 10% 26% 34% 22% 7% 1%
53 LIU Mia 9% 29% 35% 20% 6% 1% -
54 THERIOT Reagan - 1% 5% 20% 37% 30% 8%
55 ANSARI Sara 59% 33% 7% 1% - - -
56 YU Xintong 5% 22% 35% 26% 9% 1% -
56 GUO Jianing 9% 28% 35% 21% 7% 1% -
58 HONDA Emi 21% 39% 28% 10% 2% - -
59 PARK Seojeong 9% 30% 36% 20% 5% - -
60 IRELAND Moira 18% 39% 31% 11% 2% - -
61 ERDMAN-SINESIO Sophia 27% 43% 24% 6% 1% - -
62 YUEN Kaitlyn 21% 40% 28% 10% 2% - -
63 PARK Gian 21% 41% 29% 8% 1% -
64 PAN Samantha < 1% - 5% 21% 39% 29% 6%
65 VALOUEVA Katerina 14% 37% 33% 13% 2% - -
66 LIU Madeleine 20% 40% 29% 9% 1% -
67 Q Mia 1% 9% 28% 36% 21% 5% -
68 RAJESH Amulya 7% 28% 37% 21% 6% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.