Capitol Clash SYC/RCC & Y8

Y-12 Men's Saber

Monday, January 15, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Gaylord National Resort and Convention Center - National Harbor, MD, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 YANG Phillip 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 26%
2 URSU Marcel T. 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 97% 76%
3 LIU Victor 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 65% 24%
3 WEI Rian 100% 100% 99% 93% 74% 41% 11%
5 YU Ian 100% 100% 99% 90% 60% 19%
5 HE Zhikai (kyle) 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 9%
7 YU BOWEN 100% 100% 100% 96% 77% 35% 3%
8 MIAO Heqi 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 34% 5%
9 SRIVATS Vedh 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 55%
10 LUC Cedric 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 19% 3%
11 CHAMBERS Miles 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 87% 48%
12 DAI Zihou 100% 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 28%
13 HU Harry 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 53% 15%
14 LIN Brendan 100% 99% 94% 72% 33% 6%
15 NGO Emerson 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
16 WU Vincent 100% 99% 92% 69% 33% 8% 1%
17 KARAVAS Nicholas 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
18 SONG Aidan 100% 100% 99% 90% 61% 19%
19 ZHAO Royce 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 16%
20 BADMUS Joshua 100% 100% 99% 92% 70% 35% 8%
21 LI Andrew 100% 100% 100% 96% 83% 52% 17%
22 SO Morgan 100% 100% 98% 87% 57% 22% 4%
23 LIU Jayden 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 11% 1%
24 YANG Justin 100% 97% 79% 46% 17% 3% -
25 WANG Alex 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 16%
26 MERMEGAS Alexander 100% 100% 98% 85% 47% 9%
27 PERRIN Leo 100% 100% 98% 82% 41% 6%
28 TITOV Zachary 100% 100% 99% 88% 60% 25% 4%
29 BIVIJI Adam 100% 100% 98% 86% 57% 22% 4%
30 ROH Jaden 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% -
31 ISAYENKO Daniel 100% 100% 97% 85% 55% 20% 3%
32 MOELLER Felix 100% 100% 96% 79% 45% 13% 1%
33 BAI Evan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 36%
34 JOHNSON Leland 100% 100% 100% 96% 81% 47% 13%
34 WONG Hawken 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 56% 18%
36 BELAND Riley James "RJ" 100% 100% 100% 97% 81% 42% 7%
37 LI Huangziyue 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 55% 17%
38 KANIA Alexander 100% 100% 100% 98% 86% 54% 14%
39 YUEN Caleb 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 42% 10%
40 AVERY Marcus 100% 100% 95% 77% 43% 12% 1%
41 SLAVNOV Anton 100% 100% 97% 78% 35% 6%
42 YAO John 100% 91% 55% 17% 2% -
43 BRISENO Ethan 100% 98% 85% 54% 19% 3%
44 SIDDAMSHETTY Ishaan 100% 100% 98% 87% 58% 23% 3%
44 BROOKS Drake 100% 97% 81% 47% 16% 3% -
46 FU BRANDEN 100% 99% 94% 75% 44% 15% 2%
47 GRABOWSKI Alexander 100% 100% 98% 90% 65% 29% 6%
48 D'AMELJ Edoardo 100% 100% 97% 84% 55% 23% 4%
48 EARLEY Jack 100% 91% 55% 17% 3% - -
50 LEE Brendan 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
51 HENRY Cadel 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 38% 9%
52 SUH Leo 100% 93% 67% 31% 8% 1% -
53 BURENKOV Matthew 100% 89% 58% 23% 5% - -
53 MHLEY Gavin 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 11% 1%
55 KOZLOV Lucas 100% 100% 100% 96% 78% 37%
56 AGARWAAL Yohan 100% 100% 99% 92% 66% 25%
56 MELE Gianni 100% 100% 98% 87% 56% 17%
58 KOHLER Vaughn 100% 98% 84% 49% 14% 2%
59 BROOKS Theo 100% 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
60 TASIKAS Peter 100% 99% 89% 58% 20% 3% -
61 LAU Kyrus 100% 96% 75% 37% 10% 1% -
62 CHAVAN Aditya 100% 93% 68% 32% 8% 1%
63 LIUZHANG Ben 100% 97% 80% 42% 10% 1%
64 YANG yanbo 100% 79% 38% 10% 1% - -
65 PLATT Michael (Trace) 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
66 LIM JUWANA Maximilian 100% 100% 97% 86% 60% 27% 6%
67 LEVY Daniel 100% 99% 88% 58% 22% 3%
68 KAUL Ishaan 100% 100% 100% 98% 89% 60% 20%
69 ZHANG Simon 100% 99% 93% 68% 31% 6%
70 BENNETT Lachlan 100% 99% 93% 72% 37% 10% 1%
71 CHANG Ethan 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 17% 2%
72 MOORE Blaise 100% 100% 95% 76% 42% 12% 1%
73 LIU Jeremy 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 80% 29%
74 NG oliver 100% 100% 99% 90% 64% 27% 5%
74 LIAO Sirui 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
74 ROMBERG Sam 100% 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
77 CHAN Ewan 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
78 LYU Tyler 100% 96% 74% 37% 11% 1% -
79 BADMUS David 100% 92% 64% 28% 7% 1% -
80 BUKZIN Alan 100% 98% 78% 42% 13% 2% -
81 FRANCOIS Gabriel 100% 100% 97% 82% 49% 16% 2%
82 JAVIER Xavier 100% 96% 78% 46% 17% 4% -
82 WONG Reagan 100% 97% 84% 54% 23% 5% 1%
84 CUSSON William 100% 94% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
85 NAFTALI Ori 100% 90% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
86 ZHANG Weihang 100% 91% 60% 24% 5% 1% -
87 CIECIEREGA MATTHEW 100% 100% 95% 71% 35% 9% 1%
88 TANJGA Luka 100% 77% 30% 5% - - -
89 CAO HAOTIAN 100% 97% 81% 45% 14% 2%
90 SHAPIRO Leo 100% 97% 81% 48% 16% 2%
91 FAVO Christopher 100% 77% 35% 9% 1% -
92 NORTON Hudson 100% 63% 21% 4% - -
93 TIAN Evan 100% 100% 100% 98% 85% 45%
94 BROOKS Isaac 100% 96% 77% 43% 14% 2% -
95 曾 ZIMO 100% 100% 97% 83% 50% 15% 1%
96 HU Jayden 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
96 YI Andrew 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
98 DATTILIO Aidan 100% 78% 38% 11% 2% - -
99 FOUX Jonathan 100% 99% 93% 72% 36% 9% -
100 PROSPER Nathaniel 100% 80% 32% 7% 1% - -
101 MAI Ryan 100% 95% 72% 35% 9% 1% -
102 YANG LOUIS 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% - -
103 XUE Conghuan 100% 88% 54% 20% 4% - -
104 ZHANG Aiden 100% 96% 77% 40% 12% 2% -
105 MALEK Zak 100% 97% 84% 55% 24% 6% 1%
106 ZHANG Caleb 100% 100% 94% 71% 32% 7% -
107 LU Simon 100% 98% 85% 58% 26% 7% 1%
108 WANG Ziyao 100% 90% 61% 27% 7% 1% -
109 ZHERENOVSKY Alan 100% 88% 55% 23% 6% 1% -
110 WANG William 100% 65% 23% 4% - -
110 SUN Leonard 100% 95% 73% 37% 10% 1%
112 STYS Owen 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
113 ABREU ACKER Joaquin 100% 94% 65% 24% 4% -
113 KATZ Isaac 100% 59% 18% 3% - -
115 GUERRA Corey 100% 98% 81% 42% 11% 1% -
116 HALPER Benjamin 100% 96% 74% 37% 10% 1% -
117 PETACCHI Leonardo 100% 100% 96% 83% 53% 21% 4%
118 GU Dean 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
119 DETERMAN Sebastian 100% 98% 79% 43% 13% 2% -
120 BLAIR Campbell 100% 100% 95% 76% 40% 12% 1%
121 ZHAO Owen 100% 98% 83% 48% 16% 3% -
122 CHEN Brian 100% 92% 64% 29% 8% 1% -
123 DY Azriel 100% 83% 45% 14% 2% - -
124 SONG Jerry 100% 99% 92% 70% 37% 11% 1%
125 JI Derek 100% 88% 55% 21% 4% 1% -
125 LI Jayden 100% 76% 34% 8% 1% - -
127 PIPKE Garrett 100% 94% 66% 28% 6% 1%
128 LEE Aiden 100% 59% 18% 3% - - -
129 BARRIONUEVO Nicolas 100% 98% 83% 51% 19% 3% -
130 DONNELL Cillian 100% 99% 91% 65% 28% 5%
131 SIERRA Gregory S Sierra 100% 100% 99% 92% 67% 30% 6%
131 CHEN Kevin 100% 87% 53% 19% 4% - -
133 PEARL Gavin 100% 79% 40% 12% 2% - -
134 LIANG Jialin 100% 41% 8% 1% - - -
135 MCCULLOCH Jack 100% 100% 98% 86% 59% 25% 5%
136 TOURÉ-DEMARCO Toussaint 100% 99% 87% 48% 14% 2% -
137 BONGIORNO Redding 100% 82% 42% 12% 2% - -
137 LAWLOR Ryan 100% 61% 19% 3% - - -
139 HO Christopher 100% 99% 87% 49% 13% 1%
140 CHEN Anson 100% 88% 49% 15% 2% -
141 SHARMA Ayaan 100% 91% 63% 30% 9% 1% -
142 GONG Johnny 100% 51% 12% 1% - -
143 FAZELINIA Erfaan 100% 100% 98% 86% 58% 23% 3%
144 MOGUNOV Alan 100% 89% 56% 20% 4% - -
145 PISTILLI James 100% 91% 59% 22% 4% -
146 URQUILLA Devin 100% 56% 14% 2% - - -
146 VALIYEV Aslan 100% 89% 53% 18% 3% - -
148 BERGAN Chase 100% 79% 39% 11% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.