Fairfax Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC & Y8

Cadet Men's Foil

Friday, January 19, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 DOELL Ethan 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 57%
2 JIANG Bowang 100% 100% 98% 83% 40%
3 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 100% 99% 92% 63% 18%
3 YU William 100% 100% 93% 68% 30% 6%
5 PAN Ethan 100% 99% 75% 35% 9% 1%
6 MARTIRE Luca 100% 98% 80% 40% 9% 1%
7 MARISI Gabriel 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
8 SHIN Noah 100% 86% 44% 10% 1%
9 ALVAREZ ADRIAN ALEJANDRO 100% 100% 94% 71% 34% 7%
10 HE Ryan 100% 99% 84% 47% 12% 1%
11 RODRIGUEZ Lazaro S. 100% 100% 99% 88% 54% 11%
12 POLONI Giovanni 100% 100% 98% 85% 52% 15%
13 SHAW Spencer 100% 59% 17% 2% -
14 STANSBURY Desmond 100% 46% 10% 1% - -
15 DANIZ FERNANDO A. 100% 95% 67% 24% 3%
16 PHILLIPS Oliver 100% 93% 59% 19% 3% -
17 TOSCANO Sebastian 100% 15% 1% - - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.