Fairfax Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC & Y8

Div II Women's Foil

Friday, January 19, 2024 at 11:30 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Results

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Note: Color boxes represent opponent difficulty from the fencer's perspective. Read more.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 HAFEZ Tahiyah V V V D D V V V V 3.2 3 -0.2
2 SHMUKLER Maria V D D V D V V V V D 4.2 3 -1.2
3 VAUGHAN Norah V V V V V V V D 4.3 5 +0.7
3 OLSEN Jen V V V D V V V V D 4.9 5 +0.1
5 MARISI Gianna V V V V V V D 3.6 5 +1.4
6 MARTIRE Alessandra V V V V V V V D 3.4 6 +2.6
7 OWENS Elise V V V V D V D 3.5 4 +0.5
8 LENZ Zoe N. D V V V V V D 2.8 4 +1.2
9 BASILE Gianna D V D V V V D 3.9 4 +0.1
10 SHAH Suhani D V V D V D 2.8 3 +0.2
11 WU Lorena V D D D V D 2.7 2 -0.7
12 LIN Ju-An Adrianne V D D D V D 3.2 2 -1.2
13 ZHANG Tingyun (Linda) V D V D D D D 1.6 2 +0.4
14 TOMASI Samantha D D D V D V D 1.6 1 -0.6
15 SELSER Ella D D V D D D V D 2.3 1 -1.3
16 ZHANG Vicky D D D D D D V D 0.7 0 -0.7
17 CROWE Talia D D D V D D 2.2 1 -1.2
18 LENZ Phoebe D D D D D D 0.2 0 -0.2
19 HERNANDEZ Josephine D D D D D D 0.0 0 -

Legend

Color coded boxes represent the difficulty of an opponent from the perspective of the fencer according to table below. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).

Color Opponent's Difficulty Probability of victory
Very Hard 0% to 20%
Hard 20% to 40%
Roughly even 40% to 60%
Easy 60% to 80%
Very Easy 80% to 100%

Explanation

This visual map of the competition helps to understand:

Ignoring differences in styles, you should be winning your bouts against easier opponents and shouldn't be upset if you lose against stronger opponents.