UGA Open 2024

Div III Mixed Foil

Saturday, January 20, 2024 at 8:15 AM

Gainesville, GA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 WANG Sophia 100% 98% 85% 54% 21% 4% < 1%
2 CHOWDHURY Arman 100% 100% 96% 77% 43% 13% 2%
3 MAXWELL CJ F. 100% 100% 98% 87% 59% 24% 4%
3 VOLKOV Oleksandr 100% 100% 99% 95% 77% 40% 8%
5 LIU Elinda 100% 100% 97% 78% 31%
6 VINEL ALEKSANDR 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 3%
7 IQBAL Mariam 100% 99% 93% 68% 24%
8 CHOI Julie 100% 99% 91% 67% 33% 9% 1%
9 DHOKTE Neev 100% 100% 94% 71% 35% 9% 1%
10 WANG Maxwell L. 100% 100% 100% 98% 88% 56% 16%
11 CAO Kellen 100% 86% 49% 16% 3% - -
12 CHEN Andrew 100% 99% 91% 65% 31% 8% 1%
13 LIU Hangda 100% 74% 30% 6% -
14 COUSINS Patrick 100% 95% 69% 27% 5% - -
15 SHEHORN Connor 100% 100% 100% 99% 91% 66% 26%
16 VIVEROS Oscar A. 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 20% 3%
17 WANDEL Ethan S. 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 78%
18 MILES Greyson 100% 100% 96% 71% 27% 2%
19 MCARTHUR Kemp 100% 99% 91% 61% 20% 1%
19 HONG Robin 100% 99% 85% 47% 13% 1%
22 MAXWELL Austin 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
23 MOORE Jr samuel D. 100% 100% 100% 99% 87% 53% 15%
24 HARKINS Asher 100% 91% 59% 23% 4% - -
25 MILLER Jonah 100% 95% 69% 32% 8% 1% -
26 SINGLE Thomas 100% 90% 43% 9% 1%
27 GILLIAM Elijah 100% 96% 61% 20% 3% -
28 NGUYEN William 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -
29 ZHAO Bryan 100% 99% 92% 68% 30% 7% 1%
30 SUGHI Sabrina 100% 29% 3% - - -
31 KUTATELADZE Anna 100% 65% 24% 5% - - -
32 MOSS Riley 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 18% 2%
33 SMITH Ella 100% 91% 54% 13% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.