Fairfax Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC & Y8

Junior Women's Saber

Saturday, January 20, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 CARTER Keely 100% 100% 100% 96% 80% 46% 12%
2 JOHNSON Lydia 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 77%
3 HENRY Soraya S. 100% 100% 99% 93% 71% 30% 2%
3 DUCKETT Madison 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 81%
5 XIE Nora 100% 100% 96% 80% 48% 17% 3%
6 BARROSO Isabela 100% 97% 82% 51% 21% 5% -
7 WUNNAVA Ellora 100% 100% 95% 76% 38% 9% -
8 CHI Claire 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7% -
9 BOYNTON Ainsley 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 56% 19%
10 MCGRAW Sadie 100% 100% 99% 94% 71% 30% 3%
11 XU Emily T. 100% 100% 99% 93% 73% 39% 10%
12 KRIVOSHEEV Alexandra 100% 100% 96% 81% 51% 20% 3%
13 COLBY Mercer 100% 100% 97% 85% 57% 23% 4%
14 BERNARD Kathryn 100% 100% 100% 97% 85% 54% 17%
15 SCHOEW Margot 100% 100% 94% 75% 42% 14% 2%
16 MACKAY Katherine 100% 92% 64% 27% 6% 1% -
17 PRESANTH Nandana 100% 100% 96% 78% 44% 15% 2%
18 GUHA Surabhi 100% 93% 68% 33% 9% 1% -
19 LEE Alyson 100% 100% 95% 77% 46% 16% 3%
20 FLATT Sophia 100% 99% 94% 73% 37% 8% -
21 ZHANG Jiaqing 100% 98% 83% 52% 20% 4% -
22 BAINS Nandini 100% 95% 76% 43% 15% 3% -
23 ZHAO Emily W. 100% 100% 98% 87% 60% 27% 5%
24 BRUNGARDT Gabriela 100% 77% 34% 7% 1% - -
25 BARBORIAK Emily 100% 77% 36% 9% 1% - -
26 LATYSHAVA Stephanie 100% 100% 99% 88% 57% 18% 1%
27 BARNES Sarah 100% 91% 59% 21% 4% - -
28 MAROSFOI Virag 100% 79% 35% 9% 1% - -
29 KALINICHENKO Yekaterina 100% 97% 83% 51% 20% 4% -
30 FLEEGER Sophia 100% 78% 39% 11% 2% - -
31 WUNNAVA Elina 100% 94% 71% 37% 12% 2% -
32 COOVADIA Malina 100% 94% 67% 30% 7% 1% -
33 SOHN Juniper 100% 86% 49% 16% 2% - -
34 HANLON Lucy 100% 93% 69% 35% 11% 2% -
35 HALL Zoe 100% 95% 73% 38% 12% 2% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.