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Fairfax Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC & Y8

Y-14 Women's Épée

Saturday, January 20, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Results

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Color shade indicates the magnitude of a surprise (positive or negative). Grey means no suprise. Read more.

# Name Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome * Pool Victories
Pool DE Exp. Act. Diff.
1 NIX Reagan V V V V V V V V V V V 5.9 6 +0.1
2 YAO Chloe V V V V V V V V V D 3.3 5 +1.7
3 MARTINEZ Christina V V V V D V V V V D 5.4 5 -0.4
3 WEI Sherry V V V V V V V V V D 4.5 6 +1.5
5 RICHARDS Axelle V V V D V V V V D 3.8 5 +1.2
6 LEE Kate V V V V D V V V D 3.5 5 +1.5
7 JEYOON Lauren V V D V V V V D 3.6 4 +0.4
8 PILSON Rebecca V D V V V D V V D 4.8 4 -0.8
9 KROPP Anne V V D V V V V D 4.3 5 +0.7
10 GEFFNER Olivia V V D D V V V D 3.5 4 +0.5
11 HALL Isabelle V V V V D D V D 3.2 4 +0.8
12 LY Hannah V D D V V V V D 4.2 4 -0.2
13 BURT Emmalyne Grace D V V V D V V D 2.4 4 +1.6
14 LEVKOV Maita D V D V D V V D 1.6 3 +1.4
15 WORKNEH Lulit V D V D D V V D 3.7 3 -0.7
16 OLELE Ifechi V D D D V V V D 2.9 3 +0.1
17 STEEL Jane D D V V V D 2.6 3 +0.4
18 BERGAN Bailey D D V V V D D 2.4 3 +0.6
19 MEMON Insha D V D D V V D 1.4 3 +1.6
20 WRIGHT Madison D D V D V V D 4.0 3 -1.0
21 LI Xier V D V D D D 3.2 2 -1.2
22 MADDOX Elle V D D D V D D 2.3 2 -0.3
23 CAO Carolyn V D D D V D D 2.7 2 -0.7
24 GALINSKY Lana D D V V D D D 1.1 2 +0.9
25 YAO Sophia D V D D D V D 2.2 2 -0.2
26 ERBER Liberty D D V V D D D 2.0 2 -
27 IYENGAR Sthuthi V D D V D D D 2.4 2 -0.4
28 HOWARD Brielle D V D D D D 1.1 1 -0.1
29 AZAD Ava D V D D D D D 3.2 1 -2.2
30 LAMBA Sayona D D D V D D D 1.4 1 -0.4
31 SILVA Hailey D D D D D D V D 1.9 0 -1.9
32 NAPOLI Eleanor D D D D D D V D 1.2 0 -1.2
33 PRAVEEN Nehara D D D D D D 1.2 0 -1.2
34 GILDEHAUS Mathilda D D D D D D D 2.1 0 -2.1

Legend

Color coded boxes represent the outcome against opponents of varying difficulty levels from the perspective of the fencer. Letters inside the boxes indicate victory (V) and defeat (D).

Color Outcome Opponent's Difficulty Probability of Victory
Victory Very Hard 0% to 20%
Victory Hard 20% to 40%
Victory Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Victory Easy 60% to 80%
Victory Very Easy 80% to 100%
Defeat Very Hard 0% to 20%
Defeat Hard 20% to 40%
Defeat Roughly Even 40% to 60%
Defeat Easy 60% to 80%
Defeat Very Easy 80% to 100%

Explanation

The visual cues provided in this table highlight bouts that may be considered surprises based on the relative strengths of the competitors:

This visualization is designed to give both fencers and spectators an immediate sense of the unexpected outcomes of the competition. While every bout has its unique circumstances, these indicators can help highlight moments where a fencer overcame the odds or where there was an unexpected turn of events.