Fairfax Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC & Y8

Y-12 Men's Épée

Saturday, January 20, 2024 at 11:30 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the pool victory probability density for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 BOUDREAUX James - - - 1% 11% 77% 11%
2 LEE Anton - - 2% 14% 42% 43%
3 ADDYSON Aidan - 1% 8% 24% 36% 25% 6%
3 SADOWY Krzysztof - - - - - 14% 85%
5 WANG Marcus - - 1% 6% 22% 42% 30%
6 DOAN Christopher - - 2% 10% 31% 42% 16%
7 MIKHAIL Lucas - 1% 8% 27% 41% 24%
8 FONG Henry - 3% 13% 29% 34% 18% 3%
9 HEADRICK Liam - 5% 19% 34% 30% 11% 1%
10 BORAN Brooks 4% 19% 34% 30% 12% 2%
11 YAO Ryan 1% 5% 20% 35% 29% 10%
12 CHANEY Charles 1% 7% 26% 38% 24% 5%
12 MEDISETTI Arjun 1% 7% 26% 40% 23% 4%
14 GATEWOOD Michael 5% 25% 37% 24% 7% 1%
15 YU Jeremy 2% 17% 46% 30% 6%
16 CHO Alex - - - 4% 20% 43% 32%
17 KONG Ethan - 2% 18% 46% 33%
18 FENG Xinmin 3% 16% 34% 31% 13% 2% -
19 STRAFFORD Andrew 7% 32% 40% 18% 3% - -
19 PARY Jean Pierre 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 2% -
21 KELLY Blair 5% 22% 35% 26% 10% 1%
22 OH Ted - 4% 23% 48% 25%
23 ZHAO Brandon 3% 16% 33% 30% 14% 3% -
24 SILVA Zavier 1% 6% 24% 41% 27% 2% -
25 REKHI Yash 2% 13% 30% 33% 18% 4%
26 ZHOU Luke - 2% 12% 36% 39% 11%
27 QU RuiTing 1% 6% 20% 35% 29% 9%
28 YAO Aiden 1% 9% 28% 37% 21% 4%
29 MILLER Xavier 2% 12% 34% 37% 14% 1% -
30 WU Jiachen 3% 16% 33% 32% 14% 3% -
31 BANG Dylan 1% 11% 30% 35% 18% 3%
32 LAM Jayden 15% 35% 32% 15% 3% -
33 SCOTTODIMARCO James 4% 21% 40% 28% 7% 1%
34 ADDYSON Evan 42% 44% 12% 1% -
35 SMITH Noah 26% 44% 24% 5% - -
36 GUJJA Rishabh 24% 45% 25% 5% - -
37 HAGERMAN Mark 20% 38% 29% 11% 2% - -
38 AMANTE Noah Alexander 33% 42% 20% 4% - - -
39 FEELY Benjamin 27% 42% 24% 6% 1% - -
40 CHEN Zachary 6% 27% 40% 23% 5% - -
41 GOODSON Everett 44% 40% 14% 2% - -
42 ROBINSON Ronald (Tre) 25% 50% 22% 3% -
43 MCCABE Zachary 3% 16% 33% 31% 14% 3% -
44 WANG Liam 6% 24% 36% 25% 8% 1% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.