Fairfax Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC & Y8

Y-10 Women's Foil

Saturday, January 20, 2024 at 3:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5
1 REILLY Carys 100% 99% 94% 73% 38% 9%
2 PARK Hannah 100% 100% 96% 73% 27%
3 WANG Allyson 100% 100% 94% 69% 25%
3 FENG Claire 100% 100% 99% 91% 64% 23%
5 KHETPAL Aalia 100% 99% 91% 67% 32% 7%
6 ELNAGGAR Lea 100% 100% 95% 76% 39% 9%
7 AHMAD Rania 100% 98% 83% 51% 18% 3%
8 LI Beatrice 100% 98% 83% 49% 16% 2%
9 HUANG Gabrielle 100% 94% 67% 29% 6% 1%
10 YUE Alice 100% 96% 78% 44% 14% 2%
11 CAPPIELLO Francesca 100% 80% 35% 7% -
12 MA Laurie 100% 94% 69% 33% 9% 1%
13 PAK Emmalyn 100% 96% 73% 30% 5%
14 WU Karina 100% 84% 48% 17% 3% -
15 WEST Mira 100% 71% 29% 6% 1% -
16 CHANG Eleanor 100% 99% 92% 68% 32% 7%
17 LI Katelyn 100% 65% 21% 3% -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.