Fairfax Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC & Y8

Div I-A Men's Foil

Saturday, January 20, 2024 at 3:00 PM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 AKYAMAC Bora 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8%
2 PAN Henry 100% 100% 98% 89% 61% 21%
3 WANG Winston 100% 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 28%
3 ALONSO Vinicius 100% 99% 92% 68% 33% 9% 1%
5 KEE Andrew L. 100% 100% 100% 97% 79% 36%
6 ZHAO Adam 100% 100% 98% 88% 62% 28% 5%
7 JIANG Bowang 100% 100% 97% 83% 53% 21% 4%
8 TANG Albert 100% 100% 98% 87% 55% 14%
9 YAP Nathan 100% 93% 65% 28% 6% 1%
10 HUANG Eythan 100% 100% 93% 67% 29% 5%
11 MAO Lucas 100% 98% 81% 44% 12% 1%
12 PARRISH Evan 100% 100% 99% 94% 74% 39% 10%
13 KIM Brian 100% 99% 90% 62% 26% 5%
14 ORLOV Dmitriy 100% 99% 93% 71% 34% 7%
15 DUSZA Zachery 100% 99% 91% 66% 31% 8% 1%
16 GRIFFITH MCALLISTER Thomas 100% 97% 82% 49% 17% 2%
17 TRUBETSKI David 100% 100% 97% 82% 50% 18% 3%
18 LEVY Jacob 100% 100% 95% 75% 41% 12% 2%
19 TANG August L. 100% 100% 96% 76% 38% 9%
20 KIM Andy 100% 90% 50% 15% 2% -
21 ALVAREZ ADRIAN ALEJANDRO 100% 87% 51% 18% 3% -
22 MCLAUGHLIN Ryan 100% 100% 97% 84% 53% 20% 3%
23 CONVERSE Warren D. 100% 90% 57% 20% 3% -
24 SONG Austin 100% 99% 89% 61% 24% 4%
25 GRISWOLD Abel B. 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 31%
26 SHEPHERD Conner M. 100% 100% 98% 82% 46% 12%
27 PITERBARG Maxim 100% 100% 98% 88% 61% 27% 5%
28 MARISI Gabriel 100% 98% 80% 45% 15% 3% -
29 ZAIDI Adil 100% 86% 48% 16% 3% - -
30 POLONI Giovanni 100% 75% 33% 8% 1% -
31 TANG Alexander L. 100% 94% 69% 32% 8% 1%
32 PRUT Anton 100% 71% 29% 7% 1% - -
33 DUELL Jacob P. 100% 100% 98% 83% 47% 13%
34 PECK Quinn 100% 43% 8% 1% - -
35 MUELLER Donn 100% 97% 80% 43% 12% 1%
36 MOORHOUSE Emmett 100% 81% 42% 12% 2% -
37 THAN Duc 100% 37% 6% 1% - - -
38 RODRIGUEZ Lazaro S. 100% 67% 24% 4% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.