SoCal Scholastic Fencing League Individual Foil #2

Junior Men's Foil

Sunday, January 21, 2024 at 9:00 AM

Harvard Westlake High School - Studio City, Los Angeles, CA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

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Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 ZHANG Aaron 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 95% 67%
2 LIN Xilong 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 45%
3 DINSAY Kristjan 100% 100% 100% 100% 99% 90% 48%
3 KIM Aiden 100% 100% 100% 99% 89% 61% 21%
5 LLIDO Soren 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 94% 62%
6 GOBBO Alexander 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 25%
7 PARK Sky 100% 100% 100% 100% 100% 98% 75%
8 SCHIENEMAN Valentine 100% 100% 100% 96% 73% 32% 6%
9 LAKE Wyatt J. 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 76% 33%
10 TSOI Spencer 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 28% 2%
10 PINCHENG Yao 100% 100% 99% 93% 69% 29% 3%
12 GAUTHIER-PARKER Harrison 100% 100% 100% 100% 96% 74% 23%
13 BARTON Trent 100% 100% 99% 95% 75% 37% 6%
14 YORK Lucas 100% 100% 100% 95% 71% 28% 3%
15 FLANAGAN Miles 100% 100% 95% 74% 37% 8% 1%
16 POUND Michael 100% 99% 93% 68% 28% 5% -
17 SIDDIQI Amman 100% 94% 70% 33% 7% 1% -
18 MCCARVILL Cooper 100% 95% 70% 32% 8% 1% -
19 WEINBERG Harry 100% 100% 99% 90% 65% 30% 6%
19 SMITH Jeremiah 100% 98% 83% 50% 17% 3% -
21 CHEUNG Tian Yi Tim 100% 100% 99% 89% 59% 22% 3%
22 TSAO Holden 100% 100% 98% 88% 57% 19% 2%
23 ROSE Jacob W. 100% 98% 86% 57% 24% 5% -
23 CHARETTE Matthew 100% 99% 92% 64% 27% 5% -
25 MARQUEZ Jacob 100% 82% 43% 12% 2% - -
26 MONTGOMERY Georgie 100% 100% 99% 88% 50% 12% 1%
27 TURNER Finian 100% 93% 66% 30% 7% 1% -
28 LEE Benjamin 100% 100% 97% 82% 51% 19% 3%
29 ROMAGOSA Leon 100% 100% 95% 75% 40% 10% 1%
30 HERMAN Max 100% 100% 99% 94% 73% 34% 5%
31 BELTRANSOLORZANO Jared 100% 99% 90% 65% 31% 9% 1%
32 COLLIGAN Apollo 100% 92% 63% 26% 5% - -
33 MITCHELL Max 100% 83% 39% 10% 1% - -
34 ISMAGILOV Max 100% 99% 87% 58% 23% 4% -
35 TRUJILLO Jonah 100% 83% 46% 15% 3% - -
36 MARTINEZ Jorge 100% 96% 74% 38% 11% 1% -
37 FURBERG Maxwell 100% 99% 89% 61% 25% 4% -
38 PAINTER Noah 100% 100% 99% 92% 69% 32% 6%
39 GORDON Pierce 100% 97% 80% 48% 18% 4% -
40 CALDERON Gustavo 100% 90% 55% 17% 2% - -
41 GRACZYK James 100% 99% 93% 67% 29% 6% -
42 GRAPHIA Gabriel 100% 85% 48% 15% 2% - -
43 PONTOPPIDAN Erik 100% 95% 73% 34% 7% 1% -
44 SULLIVAN SALVADOR Antonio 100% 82% 41% 11% 1% - -
44 DACKO Nolan 100% 97% 79% 46% 16% 3% -
46 JOHNSON KOHLER Oscar 100% 100% 95% 78% 47% 16% 2%
47 SAUTER Luke 100% 66% 21% 2% - - -
48 LEE Benjamin 100% 79% 37% 8% 1% - -
48 MOTTAZ Henry 100% 99% 90% 67% 36% 11% 2%
50 REECE Chapin 100% 97% 81% 49% 17% 3% -
51 SONDHI Aekagra 100% 96% 72% 33% 8% 1% -
52 BRISTING Matthew 100% 61% 18% 3% - - -
53 BISSADA Matthew 100% 73% 32% 7% 1% - -
54 DIAZ Zahir 100% 84% 40% 7% 1% - -
54 NIELSEN Henry 100% 96% 74% 33% 6% - -
56 MARQUEZ Gabriel 100% 83% 44% 13% 2% - -

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.