Fairfax Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC & Y8

Y-10 Women's Saber

Sunday, January 21, 2024 at 8:00 AM

Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center - Fredericksburg, VA, USA

Probability density of pool victories

Reset

Explore the probability of achieving at least a certain number of victories in the pool for each fencer, with their actual victories highlighted in a box. Learn more.

# Name Number of victories
0 1 2 3 4 5 6
1 NARRELL Olive 100% 99% 91% 65% 31% 7% < 1%
2 LI Gloria 100% 99% 93% 74% 42% 15% 2%
3 MACHIRAJU Ishita 100% 100% 95% 79% 47% 16% 2%
3 PETACCHI Lorena 100% 98% 85% 56% 24% 6% 1%
5 YI Victoria 100% 100% 96% 82% 53% 21% 4%
6 CHANG Kelly 100% 99% 92% 69% 35% 10% 1%
7 CAO Amanda 100% 95% 74% 41% 15% 3% -
8 ZOLOTUKHINA Adel 100% 100% 100% 97% 83% 51% 15%
9 MAZZURCO Marin 100% 99% 92% 72% 40% 14% 2%
10 PARRA Luciana 100% 96% 80% 50% 21% 5% 1%
11 LEE Katherine 100% 99% 95% 79% 50% 20% 4%
12 RADELL Zoe 100% 100% 97% 78% 42% 12% 1%
13 MEYERSTEIN Vivian 100% 73% 32% 8% 1% - -
13 ARANGO Ivanna 100% 98% 85% 58% 26% 7% 1%

Explanation

The heatmap in this table provides a visual representation of the victory probability distribution for each fencer in their respective pools:

This heatmap visualization offers an immediate understanding of each fencer's expected performance compared to their actual results.