Event Results

Div I-A Women's Foil

Fairfax Challenge ROC/RJCC/RYC & Y8Surprise Map

Sunday, January 21, 2024 at 8:00 AM Fredericksburg Expo & Conference Center · Fredericksburg, VA, USA

27 finishers

Difficulty Upsets Pool Heatmap Strength

Green wins and red losses stand out more as the result becomes less expected.

#	Name	Bout Difficulty vs. Outcome		Pool Victories
#	Name	Pool	DE	Exp.	Act.	Diff.
1	GRIFFIN Emma G.	V V V V V V	V V V V	5.8	6	+0.2
2	SHENG Chuxi	V V V V V V	V V V D	5.6	6	+0.4
3	WANG Jasmine	V V V V V V	V V D	4.5	6	+1.5
3	HECHAVARRIA Annis	D V V V V V	V V D	4.3	5	+0.7
5	RENTON Samantha	V V V D V	V V D	4.6	4	-0.6
6	HAFEZ Tahiyah	V V D V V	V V D	3.3	4	+0.7
7	LUONG Tiffany C.	V V V D V D	V V D	4.1	4	-0.1
8	MARISI Gianna	D V D D V V	V V D	4.3	3	-1.3
9	ARMSTRONG Olivia	V D V V V V	D	2.5	5	+2.5
10	GORDON Rachel A.	D V V V V	V D	4.0	4	-
11	LI Katerina	V V D V V D	V D	3.3	4	+0.7
12	OWENS Elise	V V V D D V	V D	4.0	4	-
13	SHAH Suhani	D V D V D V	V D	3.3	3	-0.3
14	LIN Ju-An Adrianne	D V V V D D	V D	3.9	3	-0.9
15	SHMUKLER Maria	D V D D V V	V D	3.2	3	-0.2
16	LEE Alice	V D V D D D	V D	1.4	2	+0.6
17	MULLER Van	V D V D D	D	1.4	2	+0.6
18	HOOGSTRA Lucy	V D V D D D	D	2.3	2	-0.3
18	ZHANG Tingyun (Linda)	D D V D V D	D	1.8	2	+0.2
20	ROTHMAN Rebecca	D D V D V D	D	1.9	2	+0.1
21	MARTIRE Alessandra	V D D D D V	D	2.4	2	-0.4
22	ZHANG Vicky	D D D V D	D	1.1	1	-0.1
23	MEITZEN Havah	D D D V D D	D	1.0	1	-
24	VERGARA Jaden Reese	D D D D D D	D	1.5	0	-1.5
25	HOFF Divya	D D D D D	D	0.6	0	-0.6
26	MARKERT Delaney	D D D D D D	D	1.1	0	-1.1
26	SOHN Juniper	D D D D D D	D	0.9	0	-0.9

Outcome	Difficulty	Win Probability
Victory	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Victory	Hard	20% to 40%
Victory	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Victory	Easy	60% to 80%
Victory	Very Easy	80% to 100%
Defeat	Very Hard	0% to 20%
Defeat	Hard	20% to 40%
Defeat	Roughly Even	40% to 60%
Defeat	Easy	60% to 80%
Defeat	Very Easy	80% to 100%

The future of US Fencing is at stake!